Recent forecast guidance from regional models highlights increased cloud cover and light rainfall potential over Chongqing on August 3, suppressing daytime heating and anchoring market-implied odds near 26–27°C. Subtropical monsoon dynamics, high humidity, and the city’s mountain-basin topography typically amplify summer maxima near 33–35°C, yet persistent moisture and reduced insolation are currently shifting consensus lower. Traders weigh ensemble spread in temperature and precipitation outputs, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations. Updated runs from Chinese meteorological agencies and refined short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of the August 3 close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 3 agosto?
26°C 32%
27°C 32%
25°C 16%
28°C 15%
23°C o inferiore
10%
24°C
13%
25°C
16%
26°C
32%
27°C
32%
28°C
15%
29°C
11%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C o superiore
1%
26°C 32%
27°C 32%
25°C 16%
28°C 15%
23°C o inferiore
10%
24°C
13%
25°C
16%
26°C
32%
27°C
32%
28°C
15%
29°C
11%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models highlights increased cloud cover and light rainfall potential over Chongqing on August 3, suppressing daytime heating and anchoring market-implied odds near 26–27°C. Subtropical monsoon dynamics, high humidity, and the city’s mountain-basin topography typically amplify summer maxima near 33–35°C, yet persistent moisture and reduced insolation are currently shifting consensus lower. Traders weigh ensemble spread in temperature and precipitation outputs, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations. Updated runs from Chinese meteorological agencies and refined short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of the August 3 close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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