Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum temperature of 27°C on July 31, 2026, aligning with regional model consensus and observed atmospheric conditions including moderate humidity and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover. This outcome reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, with traders assigning near-certain implied probability based on the completed observation period and historical climatology showing typical July maxima near 31°C but cooler anomalies possible under specific synoptic patterns. Post-event revisions remain improbable absent documented instrumentation issues or station discrepancies, though any reanalysis incorporating additional sensors could theoretically adjust the recorded peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 31 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 31 luglio?
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$173,731 Vol.
$173,731 Vol.
31 lug 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$173,731 Vol.
$173,731 Vol.
31 lug 2026
24°C or below
$411 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,714 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$29,948 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$42,014 Vol.
100%
28°C
$33,003 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$20,585 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$16,263 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$15,763 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,454 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,340 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$2,410 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum temperature of 27°C on July 31, 2026, aligning with regional model consensus and observed atmospheric conditions including moderate humidity and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover. This outcome reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, with traders assigning near-certain implied probability based on the completed observation period and historical climatology showing typical July maxima near 31°C but cooler anomalies possible under specific synoptic patterns. Post-event revisions remain improbable absent documented instrumentation issues or station discrepancies, though any reanalysis incorporating additional sensors could theoretically adjust the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$173,731Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum temperature of 27°C on July 31, 2026, aligning with regional model consensus and observed atmospheric conditions including moderate humidity and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover. This outcome reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, with traders assigning near-certain implied probability based on the completed observation period and historical climatology showing typical July maxima near 31°C but cooler anomalies possible under specific synoptic patterns. Post-event revisions remain improbable absent documented instrumentation issues or station discrepancies, though any reanalysis incorporating additional sensors could theoretically adjust the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$173,731Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum temperature of 27°C on July 31, 2026, aligning with regional model consensus and observed atmospheric conditions including moderate humidity and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover. This outcome reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, with traders assigning near-certain implied probability based on the completed observation period and historical climatology showing typical July maxima near 31°C but cooler anomalies possible under specific synoptic patterns. Post-event revisions remain improbable absent documented instrumentation issues or station discrepancies, though any reanalysis incorporating additional sensors could theoretically adjust the recorded peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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