**Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 23 point to a moderating influence from southerly winds and increased cloud cover, limiting daytime heating amid a post-spring warming pattern.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources like the South African Weather Service and global models converge on afternoon maxima near 20–23°C under mostly cloudy skies, with light south to southeasterly flow advecting cooler marine air and reducing solar insolation. This setup contrasts with recent days' clearer, warmer conditions exceeding 25°C. Historical September climatology shows average highs around 20°C, providing context for the market's tight clustering between 20–26°C outcomes. Model spread on exact cloud timing and wind strength creates the observed dispersion in trader-implied probabilities, with the 27°C+ tail reflecting residual uncertainty in any late clearing. Updated runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Capo il 23 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Capo il 23 settembre?
27°C o superiore 46%
23°C 35%
24°C 35%
26°C 35%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 set 2026
17°C o inferiore
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
5%
20°C
21%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
35%
24°C
35%
25°C
16%
26°C
35%
27°C o superiore
46%
27°C o superiore 46%
23°C 35%
24°C 35%
26°C 35%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 set 2026
17°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
4%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$6 Vol.
5%
20°C
$0 Vol.
21%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
35%
24°C
$0 Vol.
35%
25°C
$0 Vol.
16%
26°C
$0 Vol.
35%
27°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 23 point to a moderating influence from southerly winds and increased cloud cover, limiting daytime heating amid a post-spring warming pattern.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources like the South African Weather Service and global models converge on afternoon maxima near 20–23°C under mostly cloudy skies, with light south to southeasterly flow advecting cooler marine air and reducing solar insolation. This setup contrasts with recent days' clearer, warmer conditions exceeding 25°C. Historical September climatology shows average highs around 20°C, providing context for the market's tight clustering between 20–26°C outcomes. Model spread on exact cloud timing and wind strength creates the observed dispersion in trader-implied probabilities, with the 27°C+ tail reflecting residual uncertainty in any late clearing. Updated runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$6Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 23 point to a moderating influence from southerly winds and increased cloud cover, limiting daytime heating amid a post-spring warming pattern.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources like the South African Weather Service and global models converge on afternoon maxima near 20–23°C under mostly cloudy skies, with light south to southeasterly flow advecting cooler marine air and reducing solar insolation. This setup contrasts with recent days' clearer, warmer conditions exceeding 25°C. Historical September climatology shows average highs around 20°C, providing context for the market's tight clustering between 20–26°C outcomes. Model spread on exact cloud timing and wind strength creates the observed dispersion in trader-implied probabilities, with the 27°C+ tail reflecting residual uncertainty in any late clearing. Updated runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 23 point to a moderating influence from southerly winds and increased cloud cover, limiting daytime heating amid a post-spring warming pattern.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources like the South African Weather Service and global models converge on afternoon maxima near 20–23°C under mostly cloudy skies, with light south to southeasterly flow advecting cooler marine air and reducing solar insolation. This setup contrasts with recent days' clearer, warmer conditions exceeding 25°C. Historical September climatology shows average highs around 20°C, providing context for the market's tight clustering between 20–26°C outcomes. Model spread on exact cloud timing and wind strength creates the observed dispersion in trader-implied probabilities, with the 27°C+ tail reflecting residual uncertainty in any late clearing. Updated runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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