Forecast models and the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a likely peak of 31–32°C on September 21 under light northeast to east winds, weak pressure gradients, and upper-air disturbances that favor scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms amid sunny intervals. Sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and high humidity support warm conditions, yet variable cloud cover and precipitation timing could trim the daily maximum by 1–2°C if convection develops earlier or more extensively than anticipated. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects the narrow spread in guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to 33°C or higher given limited insolation potential and to 30°C or below if widespread rain materializes. Updated model runs and the evening forecast will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 21 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 21 settembre?
32°C 42%
31°C 38%
33°C 12%
30°C 8%
NUOVO
$13,922 Vol.
NUOVO
$13,922 Vol.
21 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
38%
32°C
42%
33°C
12%
34°C
1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 42%
31°C 38%
33°C 12%
30°C 8%
NUOVO
$13,922 Vol.
NUOVO
$13,922 Vol.
21 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
$135 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,731 Vol.
1%
29°C
$3,098 Vol.
2%
30°C
$3,292 Vol.
8%
31°C
$992 Vol.
38%
32°C
$1,682 Vol.
42%
33°C
$931 Vol.
12%
34°C
$1,109 Vol.
1%
35°C o superiore
$341 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models and the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a likely peak of 31–32°C on September 21 under light northeast to east winds, weak pressure gradients, and upper-air disturbances that favor scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms amid sunny intervals. Sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and high humidity support warm conditions, yet variable cloud cover and precipitation timing could trim the daily maximum by 1–2°C if convection develops earlier or more extensively than anticipated. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects the narrow spread in guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to 33°C or higher given limited insolation potential and to 30°C or below if widespread rain materializes. Updated model runs and the evening forecast will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,922Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models and the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a likely peak of 31–32°C on September 21 under light northeast to east winds, weak pressure gradients, and upper-air disturbances that favor scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms amid sunny intervals. Sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and high humidity support warm conditions, yet variable cloud cover and precipitation timing could trim the daily maximum by 1–2°C if convection develops earlier or more extensively than anticipated. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects the narrow spread in guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to 33°C or higher given limited insolation potential and to 30°C or below if widespread rain materializes. Updated model runs and the evening forecast will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,922Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a likely peak of 31–32°C on September 21 under light northeast to east winds, weak pressure gradients, and upper-air disturbances that favor scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms amid sunny intervals. Sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and high humidity support warm conditions, yet variable cloud cover and precipitation timing could trim the daily maximum by 1–2°C if convection develops earlier or more extensively than anticipated. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects the narrow spread in guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to 33°C or higher given limited insolation potential and to 30°C or below if widespread rain materializes. Updated model runs and the evening forecast will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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