Recent global forecast models, including those from agencies tracking Central American conditions, indicate overnight lows in Panama City likely settling between 25–28°C on September 22 amid typical September rainy-season humidity, persistent cloud cover, and ITCZ-driven moisture that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines of 24–25°C average minima and supports the market's emphasis on 26°C and 27°C outcomes alongside elevated odds for 30°C or higher if daytime heat and elevated dew points sustain warmer nights. No major model runs signal unusual cooling from drier air masses or frontal passages in the near term, though minor revisions remain possible with the next high-resolution updates. Traders appear to weigh these stable tropical patterns heavily against historical September lows rarely dipping below 23°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Panama City il 22 settembre?
30°C o superiore 85%
26°C 53%
29°C 39%
27°C 22%
20°C o inferiore
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
19%
25°C
21%
26°C
30%
27°C
22%
28°C
20%
29°C
39%
30°C o superiore
85%
30°C o superiore 85%
26°C 53%
29°C 39%
27°C 22%
20°C o inferiore
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
19%
25°C
21%
26°C
30%
27°C
22%
28°C
20%
29°C
39%
30°C o superiore
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent global forecast models, including those from agencies tracking Central American conditions, indicate overnight lows in Panama City likely settling between 25–28°C on September 22 amid typical September rainy-season humidity, persistent cloud cover, and ITCZ-driven moisture that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines of 24–25°C average minima and supports the market's emphasis on 26°C and 27°C outcomes alongside elevated odds for 30°C or higher if daytime heat and elevated dew points sustain warmer nights. No major model runs signal unusual cooling from drier air masses or frontal passages in the near term, though minor revisions remain possible with the next high-resolution updates. Traders appear to weigh these stable tropical patterns heavily against historical September lows rarely dipping below 23°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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