**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 20 centers on the narrow 23–26°C band, where market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 46–51%.** In Panama’s tropical climate, overnight minima are shaped by high humidity limiting radiative cooling, cloud cover from convective activity, and light winds under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Recent model consensus and preliminary station data point to a minimum near 24–25°C, with slight upward pressure on 26°C arising from localized urban heat or delayed cooling after daytime showers. Official thresholds and precise measurement timing at the primary station introduce the remaining uncertainty that keeps these four outcomes nearly even, while outcomes outside 22–27°C remain negligible given climatological baselines and current atmospheric conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Panama City il 20 settembre?
26°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
20°C o inferiore <1%
$1,172 Vol.
$1,172 Vol.
20°C o inferiore
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sì
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o superiore
No
26°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
20°C o inferiore <1%
$1,172 Vol.
$1,172 Vol.
20°C o inferiore
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sì
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 20 centers on the narrow 23–26°C band, where market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 46–51%.** In Panama’s tropical climate, overnight minima are shaped by high humidity limiting radiative cooling, cloud cover from convective activity, and light winds under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Recent model consensus and preliminary station data point to a minimum near 24–25°C, with slight upward pressure on 26°C arising from localized urban heat or delayed cooling after daytime showers. Official thresholds and precise measurement timing at the primary station introduce the remaining uncertainty that keeps these four outcomes nearly even, while outcomes outside 22–27°C remain negligible given climatological baselines and current atmospheric conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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