**Forecast models from MetService and international sources indicate a high near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 22, driven by a southerly airflow behind a front that introduces cooler maritime air and likely rain, limiting daytime warming.** This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (65.5%) and 14°C (23.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the most probable maximum under these conditions. Wellington's spring climatology features frequent wind shifts and rapid temperature changes; the current setup favors suppressed highs compared with recent warmer northerly periods. Updated model runs and any shift in frontal timing or cloud cover could adjust the final reading, with official observations from the Wellington airport station determining resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 22 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 22 settembre?
15°C 63%
14°C 40%
13°C 19%
16°C 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
3%
10°C
3%
11°C
6%
12°C
11%
13°C
19%
14°C
27%
15°C
63%
16°C
17%
17°C
6%
18°C
2%
19°C o superiore
1%
15°C 63%
14°C 40%
13°C 19%
16°C 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
3%
10°C
$0 Vol.
3%
11°C
$0 Vol.
6%
12°C
$0 Vol.
11%
13°C
$5 Vol.
19%
14°C
$44 Vol.
27%
15°C
$462 Vol.
63%
16°C
$0 Vol.
17%
17°C
$0 Vol.
6%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from MetService and international sources indicate a high near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 22, driven by a southerly airflow behind a front that introduces cooler maritime air and likely rain, limiting daytime warming.**
This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (65.5%) and 14°C (23.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the most probable maximum under these conditions. Wellington's spring climatology features frequent wind shifts and rapid temperature changes; the current setup favors suppressed highs compared with recent warmer northerly periods. Updated model runs and any shift in frontal timing or cloud cover could adjust the final reading, with official observations from the Wellington airport station determining resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$511Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from MetService and international sources indicate a high near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 22, driven by a southerly airflow behind a front that introduces cooler maritime air and likely rain, limiting daytime warming.**
This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (65.5%) and 14°C (23.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the most probable maximum under these conditions. Wellington's spring climatology features frequent wind shifts and rapid temperature changes; the current setup favors suppressed highs compared with recent warmer northerly periods. Updated model runs and any shift in frontal timing or cloud cover could adjust the final reading, with official observations from the Wellington airport station determining resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$511Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from MetService and international sources indicate a high near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 22, driven by a southerly airflow behind a front that introduces cooler maritime air and likely rain, limiting daytime warming.** This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (65.5%) and 14°C (23.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the most probable maximum under these conditions. Wellington's spring climatology features frequent wind shifts and rapid temperature changes; the current setup favors suppressed highs compared with recent warmer northerly periods. Updated model runs and any shift in frontal timing or cloud cover could adjust the final reading, with official observations from the Wellington airport station determining resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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