Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and others indicate daytime highs in Guangzhou on September 20 likely reaching 34–36°C amid partly cloudy conditions and a 30–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms, consistent with the subtropical monsoon climate typical for late September. This positions 36°C as the market leader at 47% implied probability, with 37°C close behind, reflecting model consensus around recent observed highs near 35–36°C and the historical September 20 record of 36.1°C set in 2024. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover, precipitation timing, and steering winds that could suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C. Official resolution will rely on verified maximum temperature data from local monitoring stations, with any late-model shifts or unexpected clear skies potentially favoring the upper end of the distribution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 20 settembre?
36°C 46%
37°C 36%
35°C 12%
34°C 4%
29°C o inferiore
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
12%
36°C
46%
37°C
36%
38°C
3%
39°C o superiore
<1%
36°C 46%
37°C 36%
35°C 12%
34°C 4%
29°C o inferiore
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
12%
36°C
46%
37°C
36%
38°C
3%
39°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and others indicate daytime highs in Guangzhou on September 20 likely reaching 34–36°C amid partly cloudy conditions and a 30–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms, consistent with the subtropical monsoon climate typical for late September. This positions 36°C as the market leader at 47% implied probability, with 37°C close behind, reflecting model consensus around recent observed highs near 35–36°C and the historical September 20 record of 36.1°C set in 2024. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover, precipitation timing, and steering winds that could suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C. Official resolution will rely on verified maximum temperature data from local monitoring stations, with any late-model shifts or unexpected clear skies potentially favoring the upper end of the distribution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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