Northeast monsoon flow combined with an aloft anticyclone is sustaining clear skies, low humidity (50-85%), and strong solar insolation over Hong Kong, driving the market's concentration on 31–34°C outcomes for September 19. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–33°C range under fine, very hot conditions, consistent with current model consensus showing daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms. Light easterly winds (force 3–4) limit mixing while sea-surface temperatures near 27°C provide ample moisture for potential afternoon heating without triggering widespread cloud. Minor forecast revisions from updated runs could shift probabilities among the clustered 31–34°C bins before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 19 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 19 settembre?
32°C 37%
31°C 24%
33°C 19%
30°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
11%
31°C
24%
32°C
37%
33°C
19%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 24%
33°C 19%
30°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
$309 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$68 Vol.
1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
11%
31°C
$5 Vol.
24%
32°C
$115 Vol.
37%
33°C
$133 Vol.
19%
34°C
$410 Vol.
9%
35°C
$10 Vol.
3%
36°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow combined with an aloft anticyclone is sustaining clear skies, low humidity (50-85%), and strong solar insolation over Hong Kong, driving the market's concentration on 31–34°C outcomes for September 19. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–33°C range under fine, very hot conditions, consistent with current model consensus showing daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms. Light easterly winds (force 3–4) limit mixing while sea-surface temperatures near 27°C provide ample moisture for potential afternoon heating without triggering widespread cloud. Minor forecast revisions from updated runs could shift probabilities among the clustered 31–34°C bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,186Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow combined with an aloft anticyclone is sustaining clear skies, low humidity (50-85%), and strong solar insolation over Hong Kong, driving the market's concentration on 31–34°C outcomes for September 19. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–33°C range under fine, very hot conditions, consistent with current model consensus showing daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms. Light easterly winds (force 3–4) limit mixing while sea-surface temperatures near 27°C provide ample moisture for potential afternoon heating without triggering widespread cloud. Minor forecast revisions from updated runs could shift probabilities among the clustered 31–34°C bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,186Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow combined with an aloft anticyclone is sustaining clear skies, low humidity (50-85%), and strong solar insolation over Hong Kong, driving the market's concentration on 31–34°C outcomes for September 19. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–33°C range under fine, very hot conditions, consistent with current model consensus showing daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms. Light easterly winds (force 3–4) limit mixing while sea-surface temperatures near 27°C provide ample moisture for potential afternoon heating without triggering widespread cloud. Minor forecast revisions from updated runs could shift probabilities among the clustered 31–34°C bins before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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