Forecast models from multiple sources, including hourly data from European weather services, show a consensus maximum temperature of 18°C in Amsterdam on September 17 under persistent cloud cover, southwest winds of 15–25 km/h, and periods of rain that limit daytime warming. This aligns with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for 18°C, as cooler maritime air and precipitation suppress readings below the seasonal average high near 19°C. Recent model runs have shown little shift in this range, with peaks expected midday before falling to 16–17°C later. Official resolution will depend on the highest recorded value at the Schiphol station, with minimal upside risk for 19°C or higher given the stable synoptic setup.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Amsterdam il 17 settembre?
La temperatura più alta ad Amsterdam il 17 settembre?
18°C 56%
17°C 21%
19°C 19%
16°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
21%
18°C
56%
19°C
19%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
18°C 56%
17°C 21%
19°C 19%
16°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
$387 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$16 Vol.
1%
14°C
$31 Vol.
1%
15°C
$179 Vol.
2%
16°C
$478 Vol.
4%
17°C
$346 Vol.
21%
18°C
$706 Vol.
56%
19°C
$380 Vol.
19%
20°C
$267 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C o superiore
$59 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including hourly data from European weather services, show a consensus maximum temperature of 18°C in Amsterdam on September 17 under persistent cloud cover, southwest winds of 15–25 km/h, and periods of rain that limit daytime warming. This aligns with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for 18°C, as cooler maritime air and precipitation suppress readings below the seasonal average high near 19°C. Recent model runs have shown little shift in this range, with peaks expected midday before falling to 16–17°C later. Official resolution will depend on the highest recorded value at the Schiphol station, with minimal upside risk for 19°C or higher given the stable synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,851Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including hourly data from European weather services, show a consensus maximum temperature of 18°C in Amsterdam on September 17 under persistent cloud cover, southwest winds of 15–25 km/h, and periods of rain that limit daytime warming. This aligns with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for 18°C, as cooler maritime air and precipitation suppress readings below the seasonal average high near 19°C. Recent model runs have shown little shift in this range, with peaks expected midday before falling to 16–17°C later. Official resolution will depend on the highest recorded value at the Schiphol station, with minimal upside risk for 19°C or higher given the stable synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,851Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources, including hourly data from European weather services, show a consensus maximum temperature of 18°C in Amsterdam on September 17 under persistent cloud cover, southwest winds of 15–25 km/h, and periods of rain that limit daytime warming. This aligns with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for 18°C, as cooler maritime air and precipitation suppress readings below the seasonal average high near 19°C. Recent model runs have shown little shift in this range, with peaks expected midday before falling to 16–17°C later. Official resolution will depend on the highest recorded value at the Schiphol station, with minimal upside risk for 19°C or higher given the stable synoptic setup.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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