Recent European model consensus and official guidance from agencies like the Met Office point to a high of 17–19 °C in Amsterdam on September 16 amid widespread showers and moderate westerly flow. An Atlantic front is suppressing daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week, with cloud cover and rainfall limiting insolation and keeping maxima near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 19.2 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C while leaving modest room for 17 °C or 19 °C depending on exact frontal timing and local observations. Updated runs through mid-September continue to reinforce this cooler, unsettled pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Amsterdam il 16 settembre?
18°C 43%
19°C 25%
17°C 10%
20°C 9%
13°C o inferiore
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
6%
16°C
7%
17°C
10%
18°C
43%
19°C
25%
20°C
9%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C o superiore
2%
18°C 43%
19°C 25%
17°C 10%
20°C 9%
13°C o inferiore
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
6%
16°C
7%
17°C
10%
18°C
43%
19°C
25%
20°C
9%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model consensus and official guidance from agencies like the Met Office point to a high of 17–19 °C in Amsterdam on September 16 amid widespread showers and moderate westerly flow. An Atlantic front is suppressing daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week, with cloud cover and rainfall limiting insolation and keeping maxima near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 19.2 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C while leaving modest room for 17 °C or 19 °C depending on exact frontal timing and local observations. Updated runs through mid-September continue to reinforce this cooler, unsettled pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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