Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, corroborated by Met Office and KNMI guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Amsterdam on September 15 under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly flow and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions reflect a mild late-summer pattern exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 19.3°C for the date, with limited model spread supporting the narrow range around these values. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, as traders weigh the stable forecast against typical daily variability and potential for minor adjustments in the final model runs before resolution based on official observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Amsterdam il 15 settembre?
La temperatura più alta ad Amsterdam il 15 settembre?
24°C 44%
23°C 30%
25°C 18%
26°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
30%
24°C
44%
25°C
18%
26°C
7%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
24°C 44%
23°C 30%
25°C 18%
26°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
$266 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$349 Vol.
1%
21°C
$525 Vol.
3%
22°C
$536 Vol.
5%
23°C
$2,872 Vol.
30%
24°C
$1,545 Vol.
44%
25°C
$1,238 Vol.
18%
26°C
$995 Vol.
7%
27°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
29°C o superiore
$204 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, corroborated by Met Office and KNMI guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Amsterdam on September 15 under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly flow and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions reflect a mild late-summer pattern exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 19.3°C for the date, with limited model spread supporting the narrow range around these values. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, as traders weigh the stable forecast against typical daily variability and potential for minor adjustments in the final model runs before resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$8,830Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, corroborated by Met Office and KNMI guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Amsterdam on September 15 under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly flow and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions reflect a mild late-summer pattern exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 19.3°C for the date, with limited model spread supporting the narrow range around these values. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, as traders weigh the stable forecast against typical daily variability and potential for minor adjustments in the final model runs before resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,830Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, corroborated by Met Office and KNMI guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Amsterdam on September 15 under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly flow and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions reflect a mild late-summer pattern exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 19.3°C for the date, with limited model spread supporting the narrow range around these values. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, as traders weigh the stable forecast against typical daily variability and potential for minor adjustments in the final model runs before resolution based on official observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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