Persistent northwesterly flow and widespread cloud cover are capping daytime heating in Cape Town ahead of September 15, with official forecasts from multiple models showing a maximum of 16–18°C amid rain and winds exceeding 25 km/h. This setup favors the market’s tight clustering around 17–18°C, as limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation suppress temperatures relative to the mid-September climatological average near 19°C. Minor differences between 17°C and 19°C outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud thickness, wind-driven mixing, or any brief clearing that could allow modest warming before the next frontal passage. Updated model runs and official observations on the 14th will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Capo il 15 settembre?
18°C 36%
17°C 35%
16°C 17%
15°C 8%
12°C o inferiore
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
8%
16°C
12%
17°C
35%
18°C
28%
19°C
6%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C o superiore
2%
18°C 36%
17°C 35%
16°C 17%
15°C 8%
12°C o inferiore
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
8%
16°C
12%
17°C
35%
18°C
28%
19°C
6%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent northwesterly flow and widespread cloud cover are capping daytime heating in Cape Town ahead of September 15, with official forecasts from multiple models showing a maximum of 16–18°C amid rain and winds exceeding 25 km/h. This setup favors the market’s tight clustering around 17–18°C, as limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation suppress temperatures relative to the mid-September climatological average near 19°C. Minor differences between 17°C and 19°C outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud thickness, wind-driven mixing, or any brief clearing that could allow modest warming before the next frontal passage. Updated model runs and official observations on the 14th will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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