Clear skies and light northwest winds overnight are driving model consensus toward a Seoul/Incheon minimum of 15–17 °C on September 15. Recent high-resolution runs from regional and global ensembles show strong radiative cooling under stable high pressure, with dew points near 12–14 °C limiting further drops. Historical mid-September climatology for the area centers around 16 °C, and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture keeps the distribution narrow. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or cloud timing could shift the recorded low by 1 °C, while the next official Korea Meteorological Administration update and final observational data will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 15 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 15 settembre?
17°C 45%
16°C 26%
18°C 20%
15°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
7%
15°C
10%
16°C
26%
17°C
45%
18°C
20%
19°C
5%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
1%
17°C 45%
16°C 26%
18°C 20%
15°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
$105 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$138 Vol.
7%
15°C
$249 Vol.
10%
16°C
$801 Vol.
26%
17°C
$1,016 Vol.
45%
18°C
$241 Vol.
20%
19°C
$226 Vol.
5%
20°C
$200 Vol.
3%
21°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
22°C o superiore
$98 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northwest winds overnight are driving model consensus toward a Seoul/Incheon minimum of 15–17 °C on September 15. Recent high-resolution runs from regional and global ensembles show strong radiative cooling under stable high pressure, with dew points near 12–14 °C limiting further drops. Historical mid-September climatology for the area centers around 16 °C, and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture keeps the distribution narrow. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or cloud timing could shift the recorded low by 1 °C, while the next official Korea Meteorological Administration update and final observational data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$3,335Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northwest winds overnight are driving model consensus toward a Seoul/Incheon minimum of 15–17 °C on September 15. Recent high-resolution runs from regional and global ensembles show strong radiative cooling under stable high pressure, with dew points near 12–14 °C limiting further drops. Historical mid-September climatology for the area centers around 16 °C, and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture keeps the distribution narrow. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or cloud timing could shift the recorded low by 1 °C, while the next official Korea Meteorological Administration update and final observational data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,335Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light northwest winds overnight are driving model consensus toward a Seoul/Incheon minimum of 15–17 °C on September 15. Recent high-resolution runs from regional and global ensembles show strong radiative cooling under stable high pressure, with dew points near 12–14 °C limiting further drops. Historical mid-September climatology for the area centers around 16 °C, and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture keeps the distribution narrow. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or cloud timing could shift the recorded low by 1 °C, while the next official Korea Meteorological Administration update and final observational data will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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