Recent short-term forecasts for Chengdu point to a highest temperature on September 14 most likely in the 25–27°C range, driven by expected cloud cover, light rain or showers, and moderate southerly winds that limit daytime heating. Regional models show typical mid-September conditions for the Sichuan basin, where high humidity and potential precipitation suppress peaks below historical September averages near 25–26°C. Minor disagreements among guidance on exact cloud timing and rainfall amounts create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values, with traders weighing the potential for brief clearing that could allow a 27–28°C spike against steadier overcast scenarios favoring 25°C or lower. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 14 settembre?
27°C 26%
26°C 22%
25°C 18%
28°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
18%
26°C
22%
27°C
26%
28°C
14%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C o superiore
3%
27°C 26%
26°C 22%
25°C 18%
28°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$7 Vol.
7%
24°C
$25 Vol.
10%
25°C
$0 Vol.
18%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$61 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
14%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C o superiore
$6 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts for Chengdu point to a highest temperature on September 14 most likely in the 25–27°C range, driven by expected cloud cover, light rain or showers, and moderate southerly winds that limit daytime heating. Regional models show typical mid-September conditions for the Sichuan basin, where high humidity and potential precipitation suppress peaks below historical September averages near 25–26°C. Minor disagreements among guidance on exact cloud timing and rainfall amounts create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values, with traders weighing the potential for brief clearing that could allow a 27–28°C spike against steadier overcast scenarios favoring 25°C or lower. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$99Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts for Chengdu point to a highest temperature on September 14 most likely in the 25–27°C range, driven by expected cloud cover, light rain or showers, and moderate southerly winds that limit daytime heating. Regional models show typical mid-September conditions for the Sichuan basin, where high humidity and potential precipitation suppress peaks below historical September averages near 25–26°C. Minor disagreements among guidance on exact cloud timing and rainfall amounts create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values, with traders weighing the potential for brief clearing that could allow a 27–28°C spike against steadier overcast scenarios favoring 25°C or lower. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$99Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts for Chengdu point to a highest temperature on September 14 most likely in the 25–27°C range, driven by expected cloud cover, light rain or showers, and moderate southerly winds that limit daytime heating. Regional models show typical mid-September conditions for the Sichuan basin, where high humidity and potential precipitation suppress peaks below historical September averages near 25–26°C. Minor disagreements among guidance on exact cloud timing and rainfall amounts create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values, with traders weighing the potential for brief clearing that could allow a 27–28°C spike against steadier overcast scenarios favoring 25°C or lower. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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