Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in New York City on September 14 will likely fall in the low-to-mid 60s°F, driven by clearing skies after September 13 rainfall and northerly winds advecting cooler air behind a departing frontal system. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable timing of cloud dissipation and boundary-layer mixing, with some runs supporting brief dips near 60°F while others hold closer to 65°F. This uncertainty, set against September climatological averages near 62°F, explains the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around the 62–67°F bins as participants weigh official NWS guidance against potential revisions in the final model runs before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 14 settembre?
76°F o superiore 35%
57°F o inferiore 34%
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
57°F o inferiore
34%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
2%
76°F o superiore
35%
76°F o superiore 35%
57°F o inferiore 34%
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
57°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
34%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
4%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
9%
62-63°F
$40 Vol.
24%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
26%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
31%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
18%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
8%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
2%
76°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in New York City on September 14 will likely fall in the low-to-mid 60s°F, driven by clearing skies after September 13 rainfall and northerly winds advecting cooler air behind a departing frontal system. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable timing of cloud dissipation and boundary-layer mixing, with some runs supporting brief dips near 60°F while others hold closer to 65°F. This uncertainty, set against September climatological averages near 62°F, explains the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around the 62–67°F bins as participants weigh official NWS guidance against potential revisions in the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$40Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in New York City on September 14 will likely fall in the low-to-mid 60s°F, driven by clearing skies after September 13 rainfall and northerly winds advecting cooler air behind a departing frontal system. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable timing of cloud dissipation and boundary-layer mixing, with some runs supporting brief dips near 60°F while others hold closer to 65°F. This uncertainty, set against September climatological averages near 62°F, explains the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around the 62–67°F bins as participants weigh official NWS guidance against potential revisions in the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in New York City on September 14 will likely fall in the low-to-mid 60s°F, driven by clearing skies after September 13 rainfall and northerly winds advecting cooler air behind a departing frontal system. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable timing of cloud dissipation and boundary-layer mixing, with some runs supporting brief dips near 60°F while others hold closer to 65°F. This uncertainty, set against September climatological averages near 62°F, explains the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around the 62–67°F bins as participants weigh official NWS guidance against potential revisions in the final model runs before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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