**Forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, PredictWind, and local Chinese meteorological outlets converge on a September 12 high near 31–32°C for Shenzhen, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (32°C at 35.5%, 33°C at 23.5%, 31°C at 20.5%).** In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, September highs typically average around 31°C under the influence of residual summer warmth, urban heat island effects, and generally light northeasterly flow. Current guidance shows mostly stable conditions with possible afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms—common in the region—that often develop after peak heating and therefore have limited impact on the daily maximum. No major typhoon or strong cold surge is indicated in the latest runs, keeping temperatures in the narrow 30–34°C band favored by traders. Ensemble consistency across models supports the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 31–33°C, while lower-probability tails (below 30°C or 35°C+) reflect residual uncertainty in timing of any showers or minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 12 settembre?
32°C 47%
33°C 25%
31°C 16%
34°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
27°C o inferiore
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
16%
32°C
47%
33°C
25%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 47%
33°C 25%
31°C 16%
34°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
27°C o inferiore
$1,126 Vol.
1%
28°C
$354 Vol.
2%
29°C
$542 Vol.
3%
30°C
$233 Vol.
7%
31°C
$3,322 Vol.
16%
32°C
$1,203 Vol.
47%
33°C
$706 Vol.
25%
34°C
$602 Vol.
8%
35°C
$200 Vol.
1%
36°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
37°C o superiore
$86 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, PredictWind, and local Chinese meteorological outlets converge on a September 12 high near 31–32°C for Shenzhen, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (32°C at 35.5%, 33°C at 23.5%, 31°C at 20.5%).**
In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, September highs typically average around 31°C under the influence of residual summer warmth, urban heat island effects, and generally light northeasterly flow. Current guidance shows mostly stable conditions with possible afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms—common in the region—that often develop after peak heating and therefore have limited impact on the daily maximum.
No major typhoon or strong cold surge is indicated in the latest runs, keeping temperatures in the narrow 30–34°C band favored by traders. Ensemble consistency across models supports the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 31–33°C, while lower-probability tails (below 30°C or 35°C+) reflect residual uncertainty in timing of any showers or minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$8,455Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, PredictWind, and local Chinese meteorological outlets converge on a September 12 high near 31–32°C for Shenzhen, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (32°C at 35.5%, 33°C at 23.5%, 31°C at 20.5%).**
In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, September highs typically average around 31°C under the influence of residual summer warmth, urban heat island effects, and generally light northeasterly flow. Current guidance shows mostly stable conditions with possible afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms—common in the region—that often develop after peak heating and therefore have limited impact on the daily maximum.
No major typhoon or strong cold surge is indicated in the latest runs, keeping temperatures in the narrow 30–34°C band favored by traders. Ensemble consistency across models supports the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 31–33°C, while lower-probability tails (below 30°C or 35°C+) reflect residual uncertainty in timing of any showers or minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,455Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, PredictWind, and local Chinese meteorological outlets converge on a September 12 high near 31–32°C for Shenzhen, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (32°C at 35.5%, 33°C at 23.5%, 31°C at 20.5%).** In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, September highs typically average around 31°C under the influence of residual summer warmth, urban heat island effects, and generally light northeasterly flow. Current guidance shows mostly stable conditions with possible afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms—common in the region—that often develop after peak heating and therefore have limited impact on the daily maximum. No major typhoon or strong cold surge is indicated in the latest runs, keeping temperatures in the narrow 30–34°C band favored by traders. Ensemble consistency across models supports the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 31–33°C, while lower-probability tails (below 30°C or 35°C+) reflect residual uncertainty in timing of any showers or minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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