**Trader consensus at 100% for a 14°C high in Wellington on September 11, 2026, aligns with real-time observations and forecasts from regional monitoring networks.** Surface stations and model runs, including those referenced by MetService and international equivalents, recorded afternoon maxima near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly to northwesterly winds. This matches climatological norms for early spring in the region, where daily highs typically range 12–15°C absent strong frontal systems. The market-implied odds reflect the narrow band of possible outcomes once the official daily maximum is confirmed, with only minor variance possible from station siting differences or short-lived wind shifts. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating is indicated in the latest analyses that would push readings into the next threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington l'11 settembre?
14°C 100.0%
9°C o inferiore <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$45,659 Vol.
$45,659 Vol.
11 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Sì
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C o superiore
No
14°C 100.0%
9°C o inferiore <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$45,659 Vol.
$45,659 Vol.
11 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
$944 Vol.
No
10°C
$176 Vol.
No
11°C
$284 Vol.
No
12°C
$2,029 Vol.
No
13°C
$7,359 Vol.
No
14°C
$11,889 Vol.
Sì
15°C
$11,810 Vol.
No
16°C
$6,599 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,641 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,456 Vol.
No
19°C o superiore
$471 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 14°C high in Wellington on September 11, 2026, aligns with real-time observations and forecasts from regional monitoring networks.**
Surface stations and model runs, including those referenced by MetService and international equivalents, recorded afternoon maxima near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly to northwesterly winds. This matches climatological norms for early spring in the region, where daily highs typically range 12–15°C absent strong frontal systems. The market-implied odds reflect the narrow band of possible outcomes once the official daily maximum is confirmed, with only minor variance possible from station siting differences or short-lived wind shifts. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating is indicated in the latest analyses that would push readings into the next threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$45,659Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 14°C high in Wellington on September 11, 2026, aligns with real-time observations and forecasts from regional monitoring networks.**
Surface stations and model runs, including those referenced by MetService and international equivalents, recorded afternoon maxima near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly to northwesterly winds. This matches climatological norms for early spring in the region, where daily highs typically range 12–15°C absent strong frontal systems. The market-implied odds reflect the narrow band of possible outcomes once the official daily maximum is confirmed, with only minor variance possible from station siting differences or short-lived wind shifts. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating is indicated in the latest analyses that would push readings into the next threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45,659Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 14°C high in Wellington on September 11, 2026, aligns with real-time observations and forecasts from regional monitoring networks.** Surface stations and model runs, including those referenced by MetService and international equivalents, recorded afternoon maxima near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly to northwesterly winds. This matches climatological norms for early spring in the region, where daily highs typically range 12–15°C absent strong frontal systems. The market-implied odds reflect the narrow band of possible outcomes once the official daily maximum is confirmed, with only minor variance possible from station siting differences or short-lived wind shifts. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating is indicated in the latest analyses that would push readings into the next threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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