Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate Moscow will see a shift to cooler westerly flow on September 11, 2026, with daytime maxima of 17–19°C amid variable clouds and possible brief showers, following warmer southerly conditions on the 10th. Ensemble models align on this cooling trend, consistent with climatological averages near 17°C for the date, though minor variations in timing of the frontal passage could nudge the peak slightly higher or lower. Trader consensus reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 17°C and 29% for 18°C captures this narrow range, with lower odds on extremes underscoring limited upside potential under current atmospheric steering. Updated model runs and official bulletins ahead of resolution will be key for refining positions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca l'11 settembre?
17°C 53%
18°C 30%
16°C 10%
19°C 5%
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
10%
17°C
53%
18°C
30%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
17°C 53%
18°C 30%
16°C 10%
19°C 5%
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
10%
17°C
53%
18°C
30%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate Moscow will see a shift to cooler westerly flow on September 11, 2026, with daytime maxima of 17–19°C amid variable clouds and possible brief showers, following warmer southerly conditions on the 10th. Ensemble models align on this cooling trend, consistent with climatological averages near 17°C for the date, though minor variations in timing of the frontal passage could nudge the peak slightly higher or lower. Trader consensus reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 17°C and 29% for 18°C captures this narrow range, with lower odds on extremes underscoring limited upside potential under current atmospheric steering. Updated model runs and official bulletins ahead of resolution will be key for refining positions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti