Recent forecasts from multiple models point to mostly sunny conditions in Istanbul on September 12, with light to moderate northeasterly winds and low humidity supporting daytime warming. Official guidance and ensemble runs converge on a daily maximum near 26–28°C, though some guidance shows slight cooling from prior days due to regional pressure patterns. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 26°C as the implied high, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical September norms for the region. Afternoon peak timing and any late-day cloud increase remain key variables that could shift the final recorded maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 12 settembre?
26°C 72%
25°C 26%
28°C 2.0%
27°C 1.9%
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
26%
26°C
72%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 72%
25°C 26%
28°C 2.0%
27°C 1.9%
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
26%
26°C
72%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models point to mostly sunny conditions in Istanbul on September 12, with light to moderate northeasterly winds and low humidity supporting daytime warming. Official guidance and ensemble runs converge on a daily maximum near 26–28°C, though some guidance shows slight cooling from prior days due to regional pressure patterns. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 26°C as the implied high, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical September norms for the region. Afternoon peak timing and any late-day cloud increase remain key variables that could shift the final recorded maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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