Current ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a daytime high near 19–20 °C for Warsaw on September 14, driven by moderate westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air, persistent cloud cover that limits surface heating, and a chance of light showers that could further cap temperatures. Recent runs show limited diurnal range with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and surface pressures around 1010–1020 hPa, consistent with historical mid-September averages but tempered by ongoing Atlantic influence. Trader consensus on these outcomes reflects model agreement on the thermal profile, though small shifts in cloud timing or precipitation intensity could differentiate the exact maximum. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data from the next 24 hours will provide the key inputs for refining probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 14 settembre?
20°C 40%
19°C 32%
21°C 17%
22°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
14%
18°C
13%
19°C
32%
20°C
40%
21°C
17%
22°C
16%
23°C o superiore
7%
20°C 40%
19°C 32%
21°C 17%
22°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$0 Vol.
4%
15°C
$0 Vol.
4%
16°C
$0 Vol.
4%
17°C
$0 Vol.
14%
18°C
$0 Vol.
13%
19°C
$22 Vol.
32%
20°C
$17 Vol.
40%
21°C
$0 Vol.
17%
22°C
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a daytime high near 19–20 °C for Warsaw on September 14, driven by moderate westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air, persistent cloud cover that limits surface heating, and a chance of light showers that could further cap temperatures. Recent runs show limited diurnal range with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and surface pressures around 1010–1020 hPa, consistent with historical mid-September averages but tempered by ongoing Atlantic influence. Trader consensus on these outcomes reflects model agreement on the thermal profile, though small shifts in cloud timing or precipitation intensity could differentiate the exact maximum. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data from the next 24 hours will provide the key inputs for refining probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$39Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a daytime high near 19–20 °C for Warsaw on September 14, driven by moderate westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air, persistent cloud cover that limits surface heating, and a chance of light showers that could further cap temperatures. Recent runs show limited diurnal range with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and surface pressures around 1010–1020 hPa, consistent with historical mid-September averages but tempered by ongoing Atlantic influence. Trader consensus on these outcomes reflects model agreement on the thermal profile, though small shifts in cloud timing or precipitation intensity could differentiate the exact maximum. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data from the next 24 hours will provide the key inputs for refining probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a daytime high near 19–20 °C for Warsaw on September 14, driven by moderate westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air, persistent cloud cover that limits surface heating, and a chance of light showers that could further cap temperatures. Recent runs show limited diurnal range with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and surface pressures around 1010–1020 hPa, consistent with historical mid-September averages but tempered by ongoing Atlantic influence. Trader consensus on these outcomes reflects model agreement on the thermal profile, though small shifts in cloud timing or precipitation intensity could differentiate the exact maximum. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data from the next 24 hours will provide the key inputs for refining probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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