**Trader consensus centers on a 13–14°C daily maximum for Wellington on September 10, reflecting model guidance for a mild spring day tempered by cloud cover and rain.** Official forecasts, including WeatherBug and regional guidance, indicate a high near 11–12°C under a northwest flow ahead of a front, with 90–95% rain probability and stronger winds that limit daytime heating. Historical September averages hover around 12°C, and the current setup aligns with typical early-spring conditions where southerly changes or persistent onshore flow cap temperatures below seasonal peaks. Ensemble spread and recent model runs keep 12–14°C as the core range, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler outliers pending final forecast updates from MetService or international models before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 10 settembre?
14°C 53%
13°C 33%
12°C 11%
11°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
8°C o inferiore
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
5%
11°C
10%
12°C
11%
13°C
33%
14°C
46%
15°C
6%
16°C
4%
17°C
<1%
18°C o superiore
1%
14°C 53%
13°C 33%
12°C 11%
11°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
8°C o inferiore
$216 Vol.
1%
9°C
$305 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$3 Vol.
5%
11°C
$85 Vol.
10%
12°C
$241 Vol.
11%
13°C
$340 Vol.
33%
14°C
$362 Vol.
46%
15°C
$105 Vol.
6%
16°C
$2 Vol.
4%
17°C
$325 Vol.
<1%
18°C o superiore
$215 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 13–14°C daily maximum for Wellington on September 10, reflecting model guidance for a mild spring day tempered by cloud cover and rain.** Official forecasts, including WeatherBug and regional guidance, indicate a high near 11–12°C under a northwest flow ahead of a front, with 90–95% rain probability and stronger winds that limit daytime heating. Historical September averages hover around 12°C, and the current setup aligns with typical early-spring conditions where southerly changes or persistent onshore flow cap temperatures below seasonal peaks. Ensemble spread and recent model runs keep 12–14°C as the core range, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler outliers pending final forecast updates from MetService or international models before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,198Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 13–14°C daily maximum for Wellington on September 10, reflecting model guidance for a mild spring day tempered by cloud cover and rain.** Official forecasts, including WeatherBug and regional guidance, indicate a high near 11–12°C under a northwest flow ahead of a front, with 90–95% rain probability and stronger winds that limit daytime heating. Historical September averages hover around 12°C, and the current setup aligns with typical early-spring conditions where southerly changes or persistent onshore flow cap temperatures below seasonal peaks. Ensemble spread and recent model runs keep 12–14°C as the core range, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler outliers pending final forecast updates from MetService or international models before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,198Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 13–14°C daily maximum for Wellington on September 10, reflecting model guidance for a mild spring day tempered by cloud cover and rain.** Official forecasts, including WeatherBug and regional guidance, indicate a high near 11–12°C under a northwest flow ahead of a front, with 90–95% rain probability and stronger winds that limit daytime heating. Historical September averages hover around 12°C, and the current setup aligns with typical early-spring conditions where southerly changes or persistent onshore flow cap temperatures below seasonal peaks. Ensemble spread and recent model runs keep 12–14°C as the core range, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler outliers pending final forecast updates from MetService or international models before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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