Real-time observations from Wellington weather stations, including METAR reports showing a peak of 14°C midday under clear to partly cloudy skies with northerly winds, have driven the market's near-certain consensus on that exact high for September 9. Spring climatology in the region typically features variable highs around 13–15°C, and model guidance plus on-site measurements aligned closely without evidence of warmer pockets or measurement revisions. The dominant positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of authoritative data streams, with only narrow uncertainty from potential late-day adjustments or station-specific differences that have not materialized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 9 settembre?
14°C 100.0%
8°C o inferiore <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$40,866 Vol.
$40,866 Vol.
8°C o inferiore
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Sì
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C o superiore
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C o inferiore <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$40,866 Vol.
$40,866 Vol.
8°C o inferiore
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Sì
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Real-time observations from Wellington weather stations, including METAR reports showing a peak of 14°C midday under clear to partly cloudy skies with northerly winds, have driven the market's near-certain consensus on that exact high for September 9. Spring climatology in the region typically features variable highs around 13–15°C, and model guidance plus on-site measurements aligned closely without evidence of warmer pockets or measurement revisions. The dominant positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of authoritative data streams, with only narrow uncertainty from potential late-day adjustments or station-specific differences that have not materialized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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