Forecast models from authoritative meteorological sources project a daily maximum of 32°C in Guangzhou on September 11, driving the market-implied odds near 100% for this outcome. Stable northerly flow, mostly clear skies, and moderate humidity support peak afternoon temperatures matching this level, consistent with September climatology where average highs hover near 32°C. Trader consensus reflects the tight alignment across ensemble forecasts, with minimal spread in predicted maxima. A realistic shift could arise from earlier-than-expected convective clouds or localized showers reducing insolation, though current conditions indicate low probability of such changes before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou l'11 settembre?
32°C 100.0%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$41,166 Vol.
$41,166 Vol.
11 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Sì
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C o superiore
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$41,166 Vol.
$41,166 Vol.
11 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
$335 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,947 Vol.
No
28°C
$784 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,053 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,168 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,579 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,400 Vol.
Sì
33°C
$6,905 Vol.
No
34°C
$8,083 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,904 Vol.
No
36°C o superiore
$3,008 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from authoritative meteorological sources project a daily maximum of 32°C in Guangzhou on September 11, driving the market-implied odds near 100% for this outcome. Stable northerly flow, mostly clear skies, and moderate humidity support peak afternoon temperatures matching this level, consistent with September climatology where average highs hover near 32°C. Trader consensus reflects the tight alignment across ensemble forecasts, with minimal spread in predicted maxima. A realistic shift could arise from earlier-than-expected convective clouds or localized showers reducing insolation, though current conditions indicate low probability of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$41,166Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from authoritative meteorological sources project a daily maximum of 32°C in Guangzhou on September 11, driving the market-implied odds near 100% for this outcome. Stable northerly flow, mostly clear skies, and moderate humidity support peak afternoon temperatures matching this level, consistent with September climatology where average highs hover near 32°C. Trader consensus reflects the tight alignment across ensemble forecasts, with minimal spread in predicted maxima. A realistic shift could arise from earlier-than-expected convective clouds or localized showers reducing insolation, though current conditions indicate low probability of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,166Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Forecast models from authoritative meteorological sources project a daily maximum of 32°C in Guangzhou on September 11, driving the market-implied odds near 100% for this outcome. Stable northerly flow, mostly clear skies, and moderate humidity support peak afternoon temperatures matching this level, consistent with September climatology where average highs hover near 32°C. Trader consensus reflects the tight alignment across ensemble forecasts, with minimal spread in predicted maxima. A realistic shift could arise from earlier-than-expected convective clouds or localized showers reducing insolation, though current conditions indicate low probability of such changes before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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