Recent ensemble forecasts from major models including DWD and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Munich on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and rising humidity ahead of evening rain. This autumnal pattern limits daytime heating compared with clearer conditions, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 24°C at 38% implied probability followed by 23°C and 25°C. The outlook sits modestly above the long-term September average high near 19°C, though model consensus remains stable with limited spread. Fresh guidance from overnight runs will provide the next key update before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco il 13 settembre?
24°C 41%
23°C 27%
25°C 23%
22°C 9%
21°C o meno
5%
22°C
9%
23°C
27%
24°C
41%
25°C
23%
26°C
5%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
24°C 41%
23°C 27%
25°C 23%
22°C 9%
21°C o meno
5%
22°C
9%
23°C
27%
24°C
41%
25°C
23%
26°C
5%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models including DWD and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Munich on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and rising humidity ahead of evening rain. This autumnal pattern limits daytime heating compared with clearer conditions, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 24°C at 38% implied probability followed by 23°C and 25°C. The outlook sits modestly above the long-term September average high near 19°C, though model consensus remains stable with limited spread. Fresh guidance from overnight runs will provide the next key update before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti