Current numerical weather models from the German Weather Service (DWD), ECMWF, and other ensembles forecast overnight lows in Munich on September 13 around 11–14°C under westerly flow with increasing cloud cover and a chance of light rain later in the day. These conditions align closely with the September climatological average minimum near 10°C while steering clear of significant radiative cooling or cold-air advection that would push readings toward single digits. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around mid-range outcomes reflects this consensus, with limited divergence among model runs and no major synoptic shifts expected before resolution. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will provide the primary signals for any adjustments in trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Monaco di Baviera il 13 settembre?
7°C o inferiore 83%
17°C o superiore 83%
11°C 40%
12°C 39%
7°C o inferiore
83%
8°C
22%
9°C
25%
10°C
25%
11°C
40%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C o superiore
83%
7°C o inferiore 83%
17°C o superiore 83%
11°C 40%
12°C 39%
7°C o inferiore
83%
8°C
22%
9°C
25%
10°C
25%
11°C
40%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C o superiore
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from the German Weather Service (DWD), ECMWF, and other ensembles forecast overnight lows in Munich on September 13 around 11–14°C under westerly flow with increasing cloud cover and a chance of light rain later in the day. These conditions align closely with the September climatological average minimum near 10°C while steering clear of significant radiative cooling or cold-air advection that would push readings toward single digits. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around mid-range outcomes reflects this consensus, with limited divergence among model runs and no major synoptic shifts expected before resolution. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will provide the primary signals for any adjustments in trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti