**Latest short-range model guidance from sources like the GFS and DWD-MOS points to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C for Munich on September 12 under mostly clear skies and light winds, aligning with the seasonal average low of about 10.5°C.** This consensus supports mid-range outcomes in the market, yet the near-even 40% implied probabilities on both 4°C or below and 14°C or higher reflect genuine forecast uncertainty. Key variables include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under clear conditions, subtle shifts in low-level wind patterns that could enhance or limit mixing, and small ensemble spreads in predicted dew points and cloud cover. Official monitoring from European meteorological agencies will refine these details through updated runs ahead of the overnight period, as even modest changes in boundary-layer conditions can shift the realized minimum by several degrees.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Monaco di Baviera il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Monaco di Baviera il 12 settembre?
4°C o inferiore 84%
14°C o superiore 84%
11°C 40%
7°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
4°C o inferiore
84%
5°C
31%
6°C
38%
7°C
39%
8°C
25%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
40%
12°C
15%
13°C
38%
14°C o superiore
84%
4°C o inferiore 84%
14°C o superiore 84%
11°C 40%
7°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
4°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
84%
5°C
$0 Vol.
31%
6°C
$0 Vol.
38%
7°C
$0 Vol.
39%
8°C
$0 Vol.
25%
9°C
$4 Vol.
22%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$40 Vol.
40%
12°C
$0 Vol.
15%
13°C
$0 Vol.
38%
14°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest short-range model guidance from sources like the GFS and DWD-MOS points to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C for Munich on September 12 under mostly clear skies and light winds, aligning with the seasonal average low of about 10.5°C.**
This consensus supports mid-range outcomes in the market, yet the near-even 40% implied probabilities on both 4°C or below and 14°C or higher reflect genuine forecast uncertainty. Key variables include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under clear conditions, subtle shifts in low-level wind patterns that could enhance or limit mixing, and small ensemble spreads in predicted dew points and cloud cover. Official monitoring from European meteorological agencies will refine these details through updated runs ahead of the overnight period, as even modest changes in boundary-layer conditions can shift the realized minimum by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$44Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest short-range model guidance from sources like the GFS and DWD-MOS points to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C for Munich on September 12 under mostly clear skies and light winds, aligning with the seasonal average low of about 10.5°C.**
This consensus supports mid-range outcomes in the market, yet the near-even 40% implied probabilities on both 4°C or below and 14°C or higher reflect genuine forecast uncertainty. Key variables include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under clear conditions, subtle shifts in low-level wind patterns that could enhance or limit mixing, and small ensemble spreads in predicted dew points and cloud cover. Official monitoring from European meteorological agencies will refine these details through updated runs ahead of the overnight period, as even modest changes in boundary-layer conditions can shift the realized minimum by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Latest short-range model guidance from sources like the GFS and DWD-MOS points to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C for Munich on September 12 under mostly clear skies and light winds, aligning with the seasonal average low of about 10.5°C.** This consensus supports mid-range outcomes in the market, yet the near-even 40% implied probabilities on both 4°C or below and 14°C or higher reflect genuine forecast uncertainty. Key variables include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under clear conditions, subtle shifts in low-level wind patterns that could enhance or limit mixing, and small ensemble spreads in predicted dew points and cloud cover. Official monitoring from European meteorological agencies will refine these details through updated runs ahead of the overnight period, as even modest changes in boundary-layer conditions can shift the realized minimum by several degrees.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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