Current numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures of 30–31°C in Qingdao on September 15 under mostly clear skies and southerly flow, driving the market's leading implied probabilities. These conditions favor strong diurnal heating from high solar insolation with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation, though Qingdao's coastal location moderates extremes via marine influence. Recent stable high-pressure patterns have supported above-normal warmth for mid-September, exceeding typical seasonal highs near 26–27°C. Traders appear to weigh model consensus heavily while noting potential shifts from updated runs or wind changes near the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 15 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 15 settembre?
31°C 46%
30°C 31%
32°C o superiore 23%
28°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C
31%
31°C
46%
32°C o superiore
23%
31°C 46%
30°C 31%
32°C o superiore 23%
28°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
2%
23°C
$10 Vol.
2%
24°C
$10 Vol.
2%
25°C
$10 Vol.
2%
26°C
$10 Vol.
4%
27°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$63 Vol.
6%
29°C
$63 Vol.
6%
30°C
$225 Vol.
31%
31°C
$197 Vol.
46%
32°C o superiore
$626 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures of 30–31°C in Qingdao on September 15 under mostly clear skies and southerly flow, driving the market's leading implied probabilities. These conditions favor strong diurnal heating from high solar insolation with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation, though Qingdao's coastal location moderates extremes via marine influence. Recent stable high-pressure patterns have supported above-normal warmth for mid-September, exceeding typical seasonal highs near 26–27°C. Traders appear to weigh model consensus heavily while noting potential shifts from updated runs or wind changes near the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,295Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures of 30–31°C in Qingdao on September 15 under mostly clear skies and southerly flow, driving the market's leading implied probabilities. These conditions favor strong diurnal heating from high solar insolation with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation, though Qingdao's coastal location moderates extremes via marine influence. Recent stable high-pressure patterns have supported above-normal warmth for mid-September, exceeding typical seasonal highs near 26–27°C. Traders appear to weigh model consensus heavily while noting potential shifts from updated runs or wind changes near the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,295Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures of 30–31°C in Qingdao on September 15 under mostly clear skies and southerly flow, driving the market's leading implied probabilities. These conditions favor strong diurnal heating from high solar insolation with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation, though Qingdao's coastal location moderates extremes via marine influence. Recent stable high-pressure patterns have supported above-normal warmth for mid-September, exceeding typical seasonal highs near 26–27°C. Traders appear to weigh model consensus heavily while noting potential shifts from updated runs or wind changes near the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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