Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a daily maximum near 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 16, driven by northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and extensive low-to-mid-level cloud cover that limits surface heating. Persistent high pressure to the north maintains stable conditions with light winds, reducing the potential for strong diurnal warming compared to clearer-sky scenarios. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, though small shifts in cloud thickness or timing of any breaks could alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima in the region average around 25°C, providing context for the current cooler signal. Updated model runs and satellite observations through September 15 will refine the exact threshold for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 16 settembre?
22°C 50%
21°C 32%
23°C 9%
20°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
4%
19°C
6%
20°C
8%
21°C
32%
22°C
50%
23°C
9%
24°C
5%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C o superiore
2%
22°C 50%
21°C 32%
23°C 9%
20°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$0 Vol.
6%
20°C
$12 Vol.
8%
21°C
$26 Vol.
32%
22°C
$33 Vol.
50%
23°C
$0 Vol.
9%
24°C
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a daily maximum near 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 16, driven by northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and extensive low-to-mid-level cloud cover that limits surface heating. Persistent high pressure to the north maintains stable conditions with light winds, reducing the potential for strong diurnal warming compared to clearer-sky scenarios. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, though small shifts in cloud thickness or timing of any breaks could alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima in the region average around 25°C, providing context for the current cooler signal. Updated model runs and satellite observations through September 15 will refine the exact threshold for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$71Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a daily maximum near 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 16, driven by northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and extensive low-to-mid-level cloud cover that limits surface heating. Persistent high pressure to the north maintains stable conditions with light winds, reducing the potential for strong diurnal warming compared to clearer-sky scenarios. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, though small shifts in cloud thickness or timing of any breaks could alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima in the region average around 25°C, providing context for the current cooler signal. Updated model runs and satellite observations through September 15 will refine the exact threshold for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$71Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a daily maximum near 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 16, driven by northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and extensive low-to-mid-level cloud cover that limits surface heating. Persistent high pressure to the north maintains stable conditions with light winds, reducing the potential for strong diurnal warming compared to clearer-sky scenarios. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, though small shifts in cloud thickness or timing of any breaks could alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima in the region average around 25°C, providing context for the current cooler signal. Updated model runs and satellite observations through September 15 will refine the exact threshold for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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