Recent model consensus from sources such as GFS points to a peak temperature in Warsaw on September 16 between 24–26°C, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air masses and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that permit strong daytime insolation without significant precipitation or frontal passage. The close market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects minor ensemble differences in afternoon cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 26°C or higher align with the risk of earlier stabilization or slightly stronger winds. Historical September averages near 16–20°C provide context for this above-normal but not extreme event, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from local stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 16 settembre?
25°C 49%
24°C 40%
26°C 8%
23°C 4%
NUOVO
$14,124 Vol.
NUOVO
$14,124 Vol.
16 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
40%
25°C
49%
26°C
8%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C o superiore
1%
25°C 49%
24°C 40%
26°C 8%
23°C 4%
NUOVO
$14,124 Vol.
NUOVO
$14,124 Vol.
16 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
$1,549 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$278 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$22 Vol.
2%
23°C
$3,195 Vol.
4%
24°C
$2,629 Vol.
40%
25°C
$3,090 Vol.
49%
26°C
$1,273 Vol.
8%
27°C
$278 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$368 Vol.
<1%
29°C o superiore
$1,241 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources such as GFS points to a peak temperature in Warsaw on September 16 between 24–26°C, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air masses and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that permit strong daytime insolation without significant precipitation or frontal passage. The close market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects minor ensemble differences in afternoon cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 26°C or higher align with the risk of earlier stabilization or slightly stronger winds. Historical September averages near 16–20°C provide context for this above-normal but not extreme event, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$14,124Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources such as GFS points to a peak temperature in Warsaw on September 16 between 24–26°C, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air masses and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that permit strong daytime insolation without significant precipitation or frontal passage. The close market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects minor ensemble differences in afternoon cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 26°C or higher align with the risk of earlier stabilization or slightly stronger winds. Historical September averages near 16–20°C provide context for this above-normal but not extreme event, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,124Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources such as GFS points to a peak temperature in Warsaw on September 16 between 24–26°C, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air masses and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that permit strong daytime insolation without significant precipitation or frontal passage. The close market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects minor ensemble differences in afternoon cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 26°C or higher align with the risk of earlier stabilization or slightly stronger winds. Historical September averages near 16–20°C provide context for this above-normal but not extreme event, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from local stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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