National Weather Service and private model consensus currently favor a high near 98–100°F for Dallas on September 17, with southerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and strong subsidence under high pressure sustaining the late-summer warmth. Recent runs show little change in steering patterns or moisture return, keeping the risk of significant cooling or convective cooling low through the period. Historical September averages near 89°F underscore how anomalous the current ridge remains, while heat-index values above 105°F reflect the combination of temperature and humidity. Traders have priced the 98–99°F bin highest because updated short-range guidance clusters tightly in that range, with only modest upside risk if mixing is stronger than expected or downside if a weak boundary arrives earlier than modeled.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Dallas il 17 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Dallas il 17 settembre?
98-99°F 62%
102-103°F 19%
96-97°F 16%
100-101°F 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
89°F o inferiore
5%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
62%
100-101°F
14%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
7%
108°F o superiore
5%
98-99°F 62%
102-103°F 19%
96-97°F 16%
100-101°F 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 set 2026
89°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
5%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
5%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
7%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
11%
96-97°F
$5 Vol.
16%
98-99°F
$35 Vol.
62%
100-101°F
$404 Vol.
14%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
19%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
6%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
7%
108°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and private model consensus currently favor a high near 98–100°F for Dallas on September 17, with southerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and strong subsidence under high pressure sustaining the late-summer warmth. Recent runs show little change in steering patterns or moisture return, keeping the risk of significant cooling or convective cooling low through the period. Historical September averages near 89°F underscore how anomalous the current ridge remains, while heat-index values above 105°F reflect the combination of temperature and humidity. Traders have priced the 98–99°F bin highest because updated short-range guidance clusters tightly in that range, with only modest upside risk if mixing is stronger than expected or downside if a weak boundary arrives earlier than modeled.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$444Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and private model consensus currently favor a high near 98–100°F for Dallas on September 17, with southerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and strong subsidence under high pressure sustaining the late-summer warmth. Recent runs show little change in steering patterns or moisture return, keeping the risk of significant cooling or convective cooling low through the period. Historical September averages near 89°F underscore how anomalous the current ridge remains, while heat-index values above 105°F reflect the combination of temperature and humidity. Traders have priced the 98–99°F bin highest because updated short-range guidance clusters tightly in that range, with only modest upside risk if mixing is stronger than expected or downside if a weak boundary arrives earlier than modeled.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$444Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and private model consensus currently favor a high near 98–100°F for Dallas on September 17, with southerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and strong subsidence under high pressure sustaining the late-summer warmth. Recent runs show little change in steering patterns or moisture return, keeping the risk of significant cooling or convective cooling low through the period. Historical September averages near 89°F underscore how anomalous the current ridge remains, while heat-index values above 105°F reflect the combination of temperature and humidity. Traders have priced the 98–99°F bin highest because updated short-range guidance clusters tightly in that range, with only modest upside risk if mixing is stronger than expected or downside if a weak boundary arrives earlier than modeled.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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