Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 15 most likely between 30–32°C, aligning with the near-even market-implied odds for 31°C and 32°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light easterly winds are expected to moderate daytime heating, while high humidity and typical September subtropical conditions provide a baseline near the climatological average of about 31°C. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on exact timing of any clearing or rainfall intensity, which could allow brief periods of stronger insolation to push readings to 33°C or keep them capped near 30°C. Updated numerical weather predictions and official observations will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 15 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 15 settembre?
31°C 33%
32°C 30%
30°C 17%
33°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
33%
32°C
30%
33°C
15%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C o superiore
1%
31°C 33%
32°C 30%
30°C 17%
33°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
$152 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$190 Vol.
1%
28°C
$703 Vol.
2%
29°C
$430 Vol.
3%
30°C
$1,064 Vol.
17%
31°C
$527 Vol.
33%
32°C
$1,525 Vol.
30%
33°C
$829 Vol.
15%
34°C
$554 Vol.
6%
35°C
$226 Vol.
1%
36°C o superiore
$206 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 15 most likely between 30–32°C, aligning with the near-even market-implied odds for 31°C and 32°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light easterly winds are expected to moderate daytime heating, while high humidity and typical September subtropical conditions provide a baseline near the climatological average of about 31°C. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on exact timing of any clearing or rainfall intensity, which could allow brief periods of stronger insolation to push readings to 33°C or keep them capped near 30°C. Updated numerical weather predictions and official observations will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$6,405Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 15 most likely between 30–32°C, aligning with the near-even market-implied odds for 31°C and 32°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light easterly winds are expected to moderate daytime heating, while high humidity and typical September subtropical conditions provide a baseline near the climatological average of about 31°C. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on exact timing of any clearing or rainfall intensity, which could allow brief periods of stronger insolation to push readings to 33°C or keep them capped near 30°C. Updated numerical weather predictions and official observations will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,405Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 15 most likely between 30–32°C, aligning with the near-even market-implied odds for 31°C and 32°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light easterly winds are expected to moderate daytime heating, while high humidity and typical September subtropical conditions provide a baseline near the climatological average of about 31°C. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on exact timing of any clearing or rainfall intensity, which could allow brief periods of stronger insolation to push readings to 33°C or keep them capped near 30°C. Updated numerical weather predictions and official observations will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti