**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31°C for Taipei’s September 15 high, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in the 48-hour window.** Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and multiple numerical models show a moderating trend from recent 31–33°C readings, with expected highs of 27–30°C amid increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow. Precipitation probabilities of 40–95% on the day limit surface heating and cap afternoon maxima, while typical September humidity and light winds further constrain temperature rise. Model consensus points to 28–29°C as the most probable peak, but slight differences in timing or intensity of showers create the observed spread across 29–31°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei il 15 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Taipei il 15 settembre?
30°C 32%
29°C 26%
31°C 19%
28°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C
8%
28°C
11%
29°C
26%
30°C
32%
31°C
19%
32°C
5%
33°C
4%
34°C o superiore
3%
30°C 32%
29°C 26%
31°C 19%
28°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
3%
25°C
$10 Vol.
7%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C
$0 Vol.
11%
29°C
$73 Vol.
26%
30°C
$12 Vol.
32%
31°C
$149 Vol.
19%
32°C
$114 Vol.
5%
33°C
$10 Vol.
4%
34°C o superiore
$10 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31°C for Taipei’s September 15 high, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in the 48-hour window.** Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and multiple numerical models show a moderating trend from recent 31–33°C readings, with expected highs of 27–30°C amid increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow. Precipitation probabilities of 40–95% on the day limit surface heating and cap afternoon maxima, while typical September humidity and light winds further constrain temperature rise. Model consensus points to 28–29°C as the most probable peak, but slight differences in timing or intensity of showers create the observed spread across 29–31°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volume
$388Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31°C for Taipei’s September 15 high, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in the 48-hour window.** Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and multiple numerical models show a moderating trend from recent 31–33°C readings, with expected highs of 27–30°C amid increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow. Precipitation probabilities of 40–95% on the day limit surface heating and cap afternoon maxima, while typical September humidity and light winds further constrain temperature rise. Model consensus points to 28–29°C as the most probable peak, but slight differences in timing or intensity of showers create the observed spread across 29–31°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$388Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31°C for Taipei’s September 15 high, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in the 48-hour window.** Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and multiple numerical models show a moderating trend from recent 31–33°C readings, with expected highs of 27–30°C amid increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow. Precipitation probabilities of 40–95% on the day limit surface heating and cap afternoon maxima, while typical September humidity and light winds further constrain temperature rise. Model consensus points to 28–29°C as the most probable peak, but slight differences in timing or intensity of showers create the observed spread across 29–31°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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