Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions the September 19 high temperature in New York City near 70–72°F, driving the market’s strong preference for the 70–71°F bin. A cold front has shifted winds to the northeast and east, suppressing daytime warming while maintaining partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation chances. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-September but reflects the current cool air mass rather than seasonal averages near 75°F. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover could nudge readings into the upper 60s or low 70s, yet consensus remains tight ahead of the final forecast updates on September 18. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic runs and historical analogs for similar post-frontal regimes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 19 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 19 settembre?
21-22°C 47%
72-73°F 36%
68-69°F 22%
74-75°F 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
61°F o inferiore
2%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
22%
21-22°C
47%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
3%
80°F o superiore
2%
21-22°C 47%
72-73°F 36%
68-69°F 22%
74-75°F 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
61°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
8%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
22%
21-22°C
$31 Vol.
47%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
36%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
21%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
15%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
3%
80°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions the September 19 high temperature in New York City near 70–72°F, driving the market’s strong preference for the 70–71°F bin. A cold front has shifted winds to the northeast and east, suppressing daytime warming while maintaining partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation chances. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-September but reflects the current cool air mass rather than seasonal averages near 75°F. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover could nudge readings into the upper 60s or low 70s, yet consensus remains tight ahead of the final forecast updates on September 18. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic runs and historical analogs for similar post-frontal regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$31Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions the September 19 high temperature in New York City near 70–72°F, driving the market’s strong preference for the 70–71°F bin. A cold front has shifted winds to the northeast and east, suppressing daytime warming while maintaining partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation chances. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-September but reflects the current cool air mass rather than seasonal averages near 75°F. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover could nudge readings into the upper 60s or low 70s, yet consensus remains tight ahead of the final forecast updates on September 18. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic runs and historical analogs for similar post-frontal regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions the September 19 high temperature in New York City near 70–72°F, driving the market’s strong preference for the 70–71°F bin. A cold front has shifted winds to the northeast and east, suppressing daytime warming while maintaining partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation chances. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-September but reflects the current cool air mass rather than seasonal averages near 75°F. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover could nudge readings into the upper 60s or low 70s, yet consensus remains tight ahead of the final forecast updates on September 18. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic runs and historical analogs for similar post-frontal regimes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti