Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models show persistent high pressure and southerly flow sustaining overnight lows in the mid-70s°F for Austin on September 22, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 66°F. This pattern, with limited cloud cover and minimal frontal influence expected through the period, underpins the near-even market split between 67°F or below and 86°F or higher. Model consensus narrows the most probable range to 74–78°F, though small shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the minimum by several degrees before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Austin il 22 settembre?
72-73°F 40%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 39%
70-71°F 19%
67°F o inferiore
7%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86°F o superiore
5%
72-73°F 40%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 39%
70-71°F 19%
67°F o inferiore
7%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86°F o superiore
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models show persistent high pressure and southerly flow sustaining overnight lows in the mid-70s°F for Austin on September 22, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 66°F. This pattern, with limited cloud cover and minimal frontal influence expected through the period, underpins the near-even market split between 67°F or below and 86°F or higher. Model consensus narrows the most probable range to 74–78°F, though small shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the minimum by several degrees before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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