Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble models indicate a September 23 overnight low in Toronto near 9–13 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and persistent easterly flow, creating a narrow window around typical late-summer minima. Radiational cooling under clearer breaks could push readings toward single digits, while increased cloud cover and mixing from 15–20 km/h winds would limit the drop and favor values near or above 12 °C. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage accounts for the near-even market-implied odds between the 15 °C+ and sub-5 °C tails, underscoring how small shifts in nocturnal stability or advection can swing the daily minimum by several degrees before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Toronto il 23 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Toronto il 23 settembre?
5°C o inferiore 80%
15°C o superiore 41%
6°C 27%
10°C 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 set 2026
5°C o inferiore
80%
6°C
27%
7°C
21%
8°C
21%
9°C
21%
10°C
22%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
21%
14°C
21%
15°C o superiore
41%
5°C o inferiore 80%
15°C o superiore 41%
6°C 27%
10°C 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 set 2026
5°C o inferiore
$91 Vol.
80%
6°C
$40 Vol.
27%
7°C
$0 Vol.
21%
8°C
$0 Vol.
21%
9°C
$0 Vol.
21%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$0 Vol.
22%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$10 Vol.
21%
14°C
$10 Vol.
21%
15°C o superiore
$10 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble models indicate a September 23 overnight low in Toronto near 9–13 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and persistent easterly flow, creating a narrow window around typical late-summer minima. Radiational cooling under clearer breaks could push readings toward single digits, while increased cloud cover and mixing from 15–20 km/h winds would limit the drop and favor values near or above 12 °C. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage accounts for the near-even market-implied odds between the 15 °C+ and sub-5 °C tails, underscoring how small shifts in nocturnal stability or advection can swing the daily minimum by several degrees before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$161Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble models indicate a September 23 overnight low in Toronto near 9–13 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and persistent easterly flow, creating a narrow window around typical late-summer minima. Radiational cooling under clearer breaks could push readings toward single digits, while increased cloud cover and mixing from 15–20 km/h winds would limit the drop and favor values near or above 12 °C. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage accounts for the near-even market-implied odds between the 15 °C+ and sub-5 °C tails, underscoring how small shifts in nocturnal stability or advection can swing the daily minimum by several degrees before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$161Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble models indicate a September 23 overnight low in Toronto near 9–13 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and persistent easterly flow, creating a narrow window around typical late-summer minima. Radiational cooling under clearer breaks could push readings toward single digits, while increased cloud cover and mixing from 15–20 km/h winds would limit the drop and favor values near or above 12 °C. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage accounts for the near-even market-implied odds between the 15 °C+ and sub-5 °C tails, underscoring how small shifts in nocturnal stability or advection can swing the daily minimum by several degrees before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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