**Clear skies, light southerly winds, and a strong high-pressure ridge are driving expectations for a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Madrid on September 21.** Multiple forecast sources, including GFS-based models and agency guidance, project afternoon peaks in this narrow range under dry, stable conditions with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the single digits Celsius. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (53%) and 32°C (41.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the most probable outcomes given consistent model runs. Historical September averages near 25°C underscore the above-normal warmth, while the tight clustering of probabilities around these values highlights low uncertainty in the current guidance ahead of the day’s resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 21 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 21 settembre?
33°C 52%
32°C 43%
34°C 4%
35°C 1.3%
NUOVO
$15,719 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,719 Vol.
21 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
43%
33°C
52%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C o superiore
1%
33°C 52%
32°C 43%
34°C 4%
35°C 1.3%
NUOVO
$15,719 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,719 Vol.
21 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
$700 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$300 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$495 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$135 Vol.
1%
30°C
$296 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,071 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5,571 Vol.
43%
33°C
$4,561 Vol.
52%
34°C
$1,972 Vol.
4%
35°C
$464 Vol.
1%
36°C o superiore
$155 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light southerly winds, and a strong high-pressure ridge are driving expectations for a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Madrid on September 21.** Multiple forecast sources, including GFS-based models and agency guidance, project afternoon peaks in this narrow range under dry, stable conditions with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the single digits Celsius. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (53%) and 32°C (41.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the most probable outcomes given consistent model runs. Historical September averages near 25°C underscore the above-normal warmth, while the tight clustering of probabilities around these values highlights low uncertainty in the current guidance ahead of the day’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$15,719Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light southerly winds, and a strong high-pressure ridge are driving expectations for a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Madrid on September 21.** Multiple forecast sources, including GFS-based models and agency guidance, project afternoon peaks in this narrow range under dry, stable conditions with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the single digits Celsius. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (53%) and 32°C (41.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the most probable outcomes given consistent model runs. Historical September averages near 25°C underscore the above-normal warmth, while the tight clustering of probabilities around these values highlights low uncertainty in the current guidance ahead of the day’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,719Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, light southerly winds, and a strong high-pressure ridge are driving expectations for a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Madrid on September 21.** Multiple forecast sources, including GFS-based models and agency guidance, project afternoon peaks in this narrow range under dry, stable conditions with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the single digits Celsius. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (53%) and 32°C (41.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the most probable outcomes given consistent model runs. Historical September averages near 25°C underscore the above-normal warmth, while the tight clustering of probabilities around these values highlights low uncertainty in the current guidance ahead of the day’s resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti