Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 22 indicate a daytime high near 25–26°C under persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the Huaxi Autumn Rain regime, which has suppressed maximum temperatures across the Sichuan Basin. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows model consensus on limited insolation and modest southerly flow, keeping values below late-summer climatological peaks. Trader odds clustered between 22–28°C reflect this narrow expected range, with low probabilities assigned to extremes above 29°C given the established rain pattern and absence of clearing signals in the latest runs. Updated model outputs and any shifts in precipitation timing remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 22 settembre?
27°C 37%
24°C 36%
25°C 36%
23°C 33%
22°C o inferiore
18%
23°C
33%
24°C
36%
25°C
36%
26°C
33%
27°C
37%
28°C
33%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C o superiore
2%
27°C 37%
24°C 36%
25°C 36%
23°C 33%
22°C o inferiore
18%
23°C
33%
24°C
36%
25°C
36%
26°C
33%
27°C
37%
28°C
33%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 22 indicate a daytime high near 25–26°C under persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the Huaxi Autumn Rain regime, which has suppressed maximum temperatures across the Sichuan Basin. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows model consensus on limited insolation and modest southerly flow, keeping values below late-summer climatological peaks. Trader odds clustered between 22–28°C reflect this narrow expected range, with low probabilities assigned to extremes above 29°C given the established rain pattern and absence of clearing signals in the latest runs. Updated model outputs and any shifts in precipitation timing remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti