**Persistent rainfall and cloud cover from an active shear line and low-level jet are the main drivers moderating maximum temperatures in Chongqing ahead of September 22.** Official forecasts from multiple sources indicate small to moderate rain, with daily highs clustered between 24–28 °C amid high humidity (85–93 %) and light northerly winds. These conditions suppress daytime heating compared with clearer September climatology (typical highs near 26–28 °C). Model consensus points to limited diurnal range due to ongoing precipitation, keeping the most probable maximum in the mid-20s; however, small shifts in rain timing or intensity could produce modest deviations of 2–3 °C. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for both warmer (≥27 °C) and cooler (≤17 °C) extremes reflect residual uncertainty in short-range model runs and the precise official station reading used for resolution. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any repricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 22 settembre?
27°C o superiore 70%
17°C o inferiore 49%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
17°C o inferiore
49%
18°C
19%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
14%
22°C
19%
23°C
22%
24°C
16%
25°C
20%
26°C
20%
27°C o superiore
70%
27°C o superiore 70%
17°C o inferiore 49%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
17°C o inferiore
49%
18°C
19%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
14%
22°C
19%
23°C
22%
24°C
16%
25°C
20%
26°C
20%
27°C o superiore
70%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent rainfall and cloud cover from an active shear line and low-level jet are the main drivers moderating maximum temperatures in Chongqing ahead of September 22.** Official forecasts from multiple sources indicate small to moderate rain, with daily highs clustered between 24–28 °C amid high humidity (85–93 %) and light northerly winds. These conditions suppress daytime heating compared with clearer September climatology (typical highs near 26–28 °C). Model consensus points to limited diurnal range due to ongoing precipitation, keeping the most probable maximum in the mid-20s; however, small shifts in rain timing or intensity could produce modest deviations of 2–3 °C. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for both warmer (≥27 °C) and cooler (≤17 °C) extremes reflect residual uncertainty in short-range model runs and the precise official station reading used for resolution. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any repricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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