Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and major models indicate a high near 15–16°C for Helsinki on September 22 under clearing northerly flow, consistent with seasonal norms of roughly 14–15°C. Trader positioning favoring 19°C or higher at 50% implied probability likely reflects residual uncertainty in short-range guidance two days out, combined with the month's earlier warmth that has run 1–2°C above average. Northerly winds and high pressure should suppress further warming, yet small shifts in steering or cloud cover could push maxima higher. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the market's warmer tilt holds or realigns with cooler consensus guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Helsinki il 22 settembre?
15°C 45%
16°C 36%
14°C 19%
17°C 19%
9°C o inferiore
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
6%
13°C
11%
14°C
19%
15°C
45%
16°C
36%
17°C
19%
18°C
6%
19°C o superiore
6%
15°C 45%
16°C 36%
14°C 19%
17°C 19%
9°C o inferiore
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
6%
13°C
11%
14°C
19%
15°C
45%
16°C
36%
17°C
19%
18°C
6%
19°C o superiore
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and major models indicate a high near 15–16°C for Helsinki on September 22 under clearing northerly flow, consistent with seasonal norms of roughly 14–15°C. Trader positioning favoring 19°C or higher at 50% implied probability likely reflects residual uncertainty in short-range guidance two days out, combined with the month's earlier warmth that has run 1–2°C above average. Northerly winds and high pressure should suppress further warming, yet small shifts in steering or cloud cover could push maxima higher. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the market's warmer tilt holds or realigns with cooler consensus guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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