Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend in Munich driven by northwest winds and increased cloud cover following warmer conditions on September 20, positioning 17°C as the leading market outcome at 43% implied probability. Official guidance and ensemble runs point to a daytime maximum near 16–18°C on September 21, consistent with seasonal averages around 18.9°C but tempered by the incoming air mass. This consensus has concentrated trader sentiment on the narrow 16–18°C range, with limited upside risk above 19°C given the stable high-pressure pattern and minimal model spread. Updated runs through the weekend will refine exact thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 21 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 21 settembre?
17°C 43%
18°C 33%
16°C 20%
19°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
20%
17°C
43%
18°C
33%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
17°C 43%
18°C 33%
16°C 20%
19°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
2%
15°C
$199 Vol.
4%
16°C
$1,833 Vol.
20%
17°C
$533 Vol.
43%
18°C
$690 Vol.
33%
19°C
$176 Vol.
5%
20°C
$54 Vol.
2%
21°C
$5 Vol.
1%
22°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$512 Vol.
<1%
24°C o superiore
$751 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend in Munich driven by northwest winds and increased cloud cover following warmer conditions on September 20, positioning 17°C as the leading market outcome at 43% implied probability. Official guidance and ensemble runs point to a daytime maximum near 16–18°C on September 21, consistent with seasonal averages around 18.9°C but tempered by the incoming air mass. This consensus has concentrated trader sentiment on the narrow 16–18°C range, with limited upside risk above 19°C given the stable high-pressure pattern and minimal model spread. Updated runs through the weekend will refine exact thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,851Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend in Munich driven by northwest winds and increased cloud cover following warmer conditions on September 20, positioning 17°C as the leading market outcome at 43% implied probability. Official guidance and ensemble runs point to a daytime maximum near 16–18°C on September 21, consistent with seasonal averages around 18.9°C but tempered by the incoming air mass. This consensus has concentrated trader sentiment on the narrow 16–18°C range, with limited upside risk above 19°C given the stable high-pressure pattern and minimal model spread. Updated runs through the weekend will refine exact thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,851Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend in Munich driven by northwest winds and increased cloud cover following warmer conditions on September 20, positioning 17°C as the leading market outcome at 43% implied probability. Official guidance and ensemble runs point to a daytime maximum near 16–18°C on September 21, consistent with seasonal averages around 18.9°C but tempered by the incoming air mass. This consensus has concentrated trader sentiment on the narrow 16–18°C range, with limited upside risk above 19°C given the stable high-pressure pattern and minimal model spread. Updated runs through the weekend will refine exact thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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