Traders have converged on a 27°C low for Hong Kong on September 20 because official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded that minimum under clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and dew points near 25°C. Recent model runs from regional forecasts aligned closely with this value, showing limited overnight cooling typical for late-September subtropical nights. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this strong observational consensus, though an unexpected localized shower or instrument recalibration could introduce minor revision risk before final certification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 20 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 20 settembre?
27°C 100.0%
22°C o inferiore <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$27,337 Vol.
$27,337 Vol.
20 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Sì
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C o superiore
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C o inferiore <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$27,337 Vol.
$27,337 Vol.
20 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$41 Vol.
No
23°C
$41 Vol.
No
24°C
$41 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,123 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,946 Vol.
No
27°C
$11,767 Vol.
Sì
28°C
$6,108 Vol.
No
29°C
$41 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,154 Vol.
No
31°C
$37 Vol.
No
32°C o superiore
$37 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on a 27°C low for Hong Kong on September 20 because official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded that minimum under clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and dew points near 25°C. Recent model runs from regional forecasts aligned closely with this value, showing limited overnight cooling typical for late-September subtropical nights. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this strong observational consensus, though an unexpected localized shower or instrument recalibration could introduce minor revision risk before final certification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$27,337Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on a 27°C low for Hong Kong on September 20 because official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded that minimum under clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and dew points near 25°C. Recent model runs from regional forecasts aligned closely with this value, showing limited overnight cooling typical for late-September subtropical nights. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this strong observational consensus, though an unexpected localized shower or instrument recalibration could introduce minor revision risk before final certification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$27,337Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Traders have converged on a 27°C low for Hong Kong on September 20 because official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded that minimum under clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and dew points near 25°C. Recent model runs from regional forecasts aligned closely with this value, showing limited overnight cooling typical for late-September subtropical nights. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this strong observational consensus, though an unexpected localized shower or instrument recalibration could introduce minor revision risk before final certification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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