The wide distribution of market-implied odds for Sao Paulo's September 24 high temperature reflects substantial forecast uncertainty typical of springtime transitions in southeastern Brazil. Latest ensemble runs from global models show the highest temperature likely settling between 18–21°C, driven by competing influences from a passing cold front and variable subtropical moisture. Official guidance from Brazil's INMET and international centers emphasizes potential afternoon warming if daytime heating overcomes lingering cloud cover, while cooler southeasterly flow could cap readings near 18°C. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, yet recent model shifts highlight sensitivity to exact frontal timing and boundary-layer conditions. Traders will watch updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus INMET's morning briefing for resolution signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 24 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 24 settembre?
20°C 34%
19°C 24%
21°C 19%
18°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
3%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
16%
19°C
24%
20°C
34%
21°C
19%
22°C
12%
23°C o superiore
4%
20°C 34%
19°C 24%
21°C 19%
18°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
2%
14°C
$10 Vol.
4%
15°C
$10 Vol.
3%
16°C
$7 Vol.
3%
17°C
$0 Vol.
6%
18°C
$403 Vol.
16%
19°C
$34 Vol.
24%
20°C
$32 Vol.
34%
21°C
$5 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
12%
23°C o superiore
$101 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The wide distribution of market-implied odds for Sao Paulo's September 24 high temperature reflects substantial forecast uncertainty typical of springtime transitions in southeastern Brazil. Latest ensemble runs from global models show the highest temperature likely settling between 18–21°C, driven by competing influences from a passing cold front and variable subtropical moisture. Official guidance from Brazil's INMET and international centers emphasizes potential afternoon warming if daytime heating overcomes lingering cloud cover, while cooler southeasterly flow could cap readings near 18°C. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, yet recent model shifts highlight sensitivity to exact frontal timing and boundary-layer conditions. Traders will watch updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus INMET's morning briefing for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$612Data di fine
24 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The wide distribution of market-implied odds for Sao Paulo's September 24 high temperature reflects substantial forecast uncertainty typical of springtime transitions in southeastern Brazil. Latest ensemble runs from global models show the highest temperature likely settling between 18–21°C, driven by competing influences from a passing cold front and variable subtropical moisture. Official guidance from Brazil's INMET and international centers emphasizes potential afternoon warming if daytime heating overcomes lingering cloud cover, while cooler southeasterly flow could cap readings near 18°C. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, yet recent model shifts highlight sensitivity to exact frontal timing and boundary-layer conditions. Traders will watch updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus INMET's morning briefing for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$612Data di fine
24 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The wide distribution of market-implied odds for Sao Paulo's September 24 high temperature reflects substantial forecast uncertainty typical of springtime transitions in southeastern Brazil. Latest ensemble runs from global models show the highest temperature likely settling between 18–21°C, driven by competing influences from a passing cold front and variable subtropical moisture. Official guidance from Brazil's INMET and international centers emphasizes potential afternoon warming if daytime heating overcomes lingering cloud cover, while cooler southeasterly flow could cap readings near 18°C. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, yet recent model shifts highlight sensitivity to exact frontal timing and boundary-layer conditions. Traders will watch updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus INMET's morning briefing for resolution signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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