Recent northerly winds advecting warmer, humid air after a polar front have driven a sharp warming trend, positioning 24–26°C as the leading market outcomes with combined implied probability near 62%. Multiple forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, project a daytime maximum in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius for September 24 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, consistent with seasonal spring transition patterns in the region. Minor spread in guidance stems from variable cloud cover and wind direction shifts that could trim or boost peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings and next model cycles over the next 48 hours will refine the exact high before market resolution on the official daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Buenos Aires il 24 settembre?
25°C 46%
24°C 24%
26°C 24%
23°C 14%
18°C o inferiore
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
14%
24°C
24%
25°C
46%
26°C
24%
27°C
7%
28°C o superiore
4%
25°C 46%
24°C 24%
26°C 24%
23°C 14%
18°C o inferiore
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
14%
24°C
24%
25°C
46%
26°C
24%
27°C
7%
28°C o superiore
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly winds advecting warmer, humid air after a polar front have driven a sharp warming trend, positioning 24–26°C as the leading market outcomes with combined implied probability near 62%. Multiple forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, project a daytime maximum in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius for September 24 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, consistent with seasonal spring transition patterns in the region. Minor spread in guidance stems from variable cloud cover and wind direction shifts that could trim or boost peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings and next model cycles over the next 48 hours will refine the exact high before market resolution on the official daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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