Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 24 will likely fall between 11–13°C under clear skies and light easterly winds, driven by high pressure promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 18°C. This setup aligns with typical late-September climatology but leaves room for variance based on exact wind speeds, humidity levels near 70%, and any subtle cloud cover shifts that could limit overnight temperature drops. The near-even market split between 15°C-or-higher and 5°C-or-below outcomes reflects model consensus on mild conditions tempered by uncertainty in the final hours before resolution, as small changes in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing could push the minimum across key thresholds. Updated Environment Canada and GFS runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Toronto il 24 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Toronto il 24 settembre?
15°C o superiore 89%
5°C o inferiore 87%
14°C 39%
6°C 38%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 set 2026
5°C o inferiore
87%
6°C
38%
7°C
38%
8°C
21%
9°C
21%
10°C
22%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
20%
14°C
39%
15°C o superiore
89%
15°C o superiore 89%
5°C o inferiore 87%
14°C 39%
6°C 38%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 set 2026
5°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
87%
6°C
$10 Vol.
38%
7°C
$10 Vol.
38%
8°C
$0 Vol.
21%
9°C
$0 Vol.
21%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$0 Vol.
22%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$0 Vol.
20%
14°C
$10 Vol.
39%
15°C o superiore
$10 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 24 will likely fall between 11–13°C under clear skies and light easterly winds, driven by high pressure promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 18°C. This setup aligns with typical late-September climatology but leaves room for variance based on exact wind speeds, humidity levels near 70%, and any subtle cloud cover shifts that could limit overnight temperature drops. The near-even market split between 15°C-or-higher and 5°C-or-below outcomes reflects model consensus on mild conditions tempered by uncertainty in the final hours before resolution, as small changes in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing could push the minimum across key thresholds. Updated Environment Canada and GFS runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$50Data di fine
24 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 24 will likely fall between 11–13°C under clear skies and light easterly winds, driven by high pressure promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 18°C. This setup aligns with typical late-September climatology but leaves room for variance based on exact wind speeds, humidity levels near 70%, and any subtle cloud cover shifts that could limit overnight temperature drops. The near-even market split between 15°C-or-higher and 5°C-or-below outcomes reflects model consensus on mild conditions tempered by uncertainty in the final hours before resolution, as small changes in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing could push the minimum across key thresholds. Updated Environment Canada and GFS runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50Data di fine
24 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 24 will likely fall between 11–13°C under clear skies and light easterly winds, driven by high pressure promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 18°C. This setup aligns with typical late-September climatology but leaves room for variance based on exact wind speeds, humidity levels near 70%, and any subtle cloud cover shifts that could limit overnight temperature drops. The near-even market split between 15°C-or-higher and 5°C-or-below outcomes reflects model consensus on mild conditions tempered by uncertainty in the final hours before resolution, as small changes in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing could push the minimum across key thresholds. Updated Environment Canada and GFS runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti