**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a San Francisco high temperature of 66–68°F on September 22, 2026, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and marine-layer influence that limits daytime warming.** Prevailing southwest winds of 5–15 mph, combined with morning cloud cover transitioning to partial clearing, are expected to keep peak readings below the long-term September 22 average of 70.6°F. Recent September conditions have featured similar moderate highs in the mid-60s after an early-month heat spike, reinforcing trader positioning toward the 66–69°F range (61% combined implied probability). Model consensus shows low risk of significant warming or cooling, with any revisions likely tied to updated wind or cloud forecasts rather than major pattern shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 22 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 22 settembre?
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 24%
70-71°F 20%
64-65°F 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
61°F o inferiore
<1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F o superiore
<1%
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 24%
70-71°F 20%
64-65°F 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
61°F o inferiore
$342 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$269 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$431 Vol.
12%
66-67°F
$489 Vol.
24%
68-69°F
$628 Vol.
37%
70-71°F
$493 Vol.
20%
72-73°F
$236 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$44 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$4 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$99 Vol.
<1%
80°F o superiore
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a San Francisco high temperature of 66–68°F on September 22, 2026, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and marine-layer influence that limits daytime warming.**
Prevailing southwest winds of 5–15 mph, combined with morning cloud cover transitioning to partial clearing, are expected to keep peak readings below the long-term September 22 average of 70.6°F. Recent September conditions have featured similar moderate highs in the mid-60s after an early-month heat spike, reinforcing trader positioning toward the 66–69°F range (61% combined implied probability). Model consensus shows low risk of significant warming or cooling, with any revisions likely tied to updated wind or cloud forecasts rather than major pattern shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,130Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a San Francisco high temperature of 66–68°F on September 22, 2026, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and marine-layer influence that limits daytime warming.**
Prevailing southwest winds of 5–15 mph, combined with morning cloud cover transitioning to partial clearing, are expected to keep peak readings below the long-term September 22 average of 70.6°F. Recent September conditions have featured similar moderate highs in the mid-60s after an early-month heat spike, reinforcing trader positioning toward the 66–69°F range (61% combined implied probability). Model consensus shows low risk of significant warming or cooling, with any revisions likely tied to updated wind or cloud forecasts rather than major pattern shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,130Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a San Francisco high temperature of 66–68°F on September 22, 2026, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and marine-layer influence that limits daytime warming.** Prevailing southwest winds of 5–15 mph, combined with morning cloud cover transitioning to partial clearing, are expected to keep peak readings below the long-term September 22 average of 70.6°F. Recent September conditions have featured similar moderate highs in the mid-60s after an early-month heat spike, reinforcing trader positioning toward the 66–69°F range (61% combined implied probability). Model consensus shows low risk of significant warming or cooling, with any revisions likely tied to updated wind or cloud forecasts rather than major pattern shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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