Recent forecast updates from official Chinese meteorological sources and ensemble models indicate mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and low humidity on September 21, supporting strong daytime heating and a maximum temperature likely in the 29–31°C range. Clear skies and minimal cloud cover differentiate the closely matched 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as slight variations in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer mixing could tip the daily high across the threshold. Historical September baselines for Beijing show typical highs near 26–28°C, but current anomalous warmth and stable high pressure have elevated trader-implied odds toward the upper end. Model consensus remains tight, with limited disagreement on steering patterns or timing of any late-day cloud increase, though final observational data before market resolution may still shift probabilities within this narrow band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Pechino il 21 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Pechino il 21 settembre?
31°C 41%
30°C 37%
29°C 17%
32°C 7%
NUOVO
$10,352 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,352 Vol.
21 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
17%
30°C
37%
31°C
41%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 41%
30°C 37%
29°C 17%
32°C 7%
NUOVO
$10,352 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,352 Vol.
21 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
$421 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$316 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$444 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$610 Vol.
1%
28°C
$427 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,017 Vol.
17%
30°C
$558 Vol.
37%
31°C
$5,963 Vol.
41%
32°C
$350 Vol.
7%
33°C
$139 Vol.
1%
34°C o superiore
$107 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from official Chinese meteorological sources and ensemble models indicate mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and low humidity on September 21, supporting strong daytime heating and a maximum temperature likely in the 29–31°C range. Clear skies and minimal cloud cover differentiate the closely matched 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as slight variations in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer mixing could tip the daily high across the threshold. Historical September baselines for Beijing show typical highs near 26–28°C, but current anomalous warmth and stable high pressure have elevated trader-implied odds toward the upper end. Model consensus remains tight, with limited disagreement on steering patterns or timing of any late-day cloud increase, though final observational data before market resolution may still shift probabilities within this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$10,352Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from official Chinese meteorological sources and ensemble models indicate mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and low humidity on September 21, supporting strong daytime heating and a maximum temperature likely in the 29–31°C range. Clear skies and minimal cloud cover differentiate the closely matched 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as slight variations in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer mixing could tip the daily high across the threshold. Historical September baselines for Beijing show typical highs near 26–28°C, but current anomalous warmth and stable high pressure have elevated trader-implied odds toward the upper end. Model consensus remains tight, with limited disagreement on steering patterns or timing of any late-day cloud increase, though final observational data before market resolution may still shift probabilities within this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,352Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from official Chinese meteorological sources and ensemble models indicate mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and low humidity on September 21, supporting strong daytime heating and a maximum temperature likely in the 29–31°C range. Clear skies and minimal cloud cover differentiate the closely matched 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as slight variations in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer mixing could tip the daily high across the threshold. Historical September baselines for Beijing show typical highs near 26–28°C, but current anomalous warmth and stable high pressure have elevated trader-implied odds toward the upper end. Model consensus remains tight, with limited disagreement on steering patterns or timing of any late-day cloud increase, though final observational data before market resolution may still shift probabilities within this narrow band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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