Recent forecasts from global models and Brazilian meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature in São Paulo on September 24 near 13–15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and southeasterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions follow a cool, overcast September 23 with similar lows near 12–14°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 9°C or below and 14°C because ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in exact clearing timing and boundary-layer moisture; stronger subsidence or clearer skies could allow deeper cooling toward single digits, while continued moisture supports the higher range. Updated model runs and local observations through the overnight period will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a San Paolo il 24 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a San Paolo il 24 settembre?
9°C o inferiore 46%
14°C 44%
19°C o superiore 43%
13°C 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
46%
10°C
17%
11°C
13%
12°C
23%
13°C
28%
14°C
29%
15°C
20%
16°C
12%
17°C
14%
18°C
14%
19°C o superiore
43%
9°C o inferiore 46%
14°C 44%
19°C o superiore 43%
13°C 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
46%
10°C
$58 Vol.
17%
11°C
$0 Vol.
13%
12°C
$0 Vol.
23%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$10 Vol.
29%
15°C
$0 Vol.
20%
16°C
$0 Vol.
12%
17°C
$10 Vol.
14%
18°C
$10 Vol.
14%
19°C o superiore
$10 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models and Brazilian meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature in São Paulo on September 24 near 13–15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and southeasterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions follow a cool, overcast September 23 with similar lows near 12–14°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 9°C or below and 14°C because ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in exact clearing timing and boundary-layer moisture; stronger subsidence or clearer skies could allow deeper cooling toward single digits, while continued moisture supports the higher range. Updated model runs and local observations through the overnight period will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Volume
$108Data di fine
24 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2026, 8:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models and Brazilian meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature in São Paulo on September 24 near 13–15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and southeasterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions follow a cool, overcast September 23 with similar lows near 12–14°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 9°C or below and 14°C because ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in exact clearing timing and boundary-layer moisture; stronger subsidence or clearer skies could allow deeper cooling toward single digits, while continued moisture supports the higher range. Updated model runs and local observations through the overnight period will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$108Data di fine
24 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2026, 8:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models and Brazilian meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature in São Paulo on September 24 near 13–15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and southeasterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions follow a cool, overcast September 23 with similar lows near 12–14°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 9°C or below and 14°C because ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in exact clearing timing and boundary-layer moisture; stronger subsidence or clearer skies could allow deeper cooling toward single digits, while continued moisture supports the higher range. Updated model runs and local observations through the overnight period will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti