Persistent easterly flow off Lake Michigan and lingering cloud cover are anchoring trader focus on the 66–69°F range for Chicago’s September 25 high, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of 66–68°F under stable high pressure. Onshore winds suppress daytime warming while moderating overnight lows near 55–58°F, keeping the diurnal range narrow. Current ensemble runs show limited spread, with minimal warm-air advection expected before the period. Historical climatology places the late-September average near 73°F, so the below-normal signal supports the market’s tight clustering around the lower 60s-to-upper 60s bins. Fresh model cycles and any shift in wind direction remain the key near-term catalysts that could nudge probabilities between the leading outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chicago il 25 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Chicago il 25 settembre?
66-67°F 28%
68-69°F 27%
70-71°F 23%
72-73°F 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
57°F o inferiore
4%
58-59°F
5%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
8%
76°F o superiore
5%
66-67°F 28%
68-69°F 27%
70-71°F 23%
72-73°F 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
57°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
4%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
5%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
6%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
5%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
9%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
28%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
27%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
23%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
19%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
8%
76°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent easterly flow off Lake Michigan and lingering cloud cover are anchoring trader focus on the 66–69°F range for Chicago’s September 25 high, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of 66–68°F under stable high pressure. Onshore winds suppress daytime warming while moderating overnight lows near 55–58°F, keeping the diurnal range narrow. Current ensemble runs show limited spread, with minimal warm-air advection expected before the period. Historical climatology places the late-September average near 73°F, so the below-normal signal supports the market’s tight clustering around the lower 60s-to-upper 60s bins. Fresh model cycles and any shift in wind direction remain the key near-term catalysts that could nudge probabilities between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent easterly flow off Lake Michigan and lingering cloud cover are anchoring trader focus on the 66–69°F range for Chicago’s September 25 high, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of 66–68°F under stable high pressure. Onshore winds suppress daytime warming while moderating overnight lows near 55–58°F, keeping the diurnal range narrow. Current ensemble runs show limited spread, with minimal warm-air advection expected before the period. Historical climatology places the late-September average near 73°F, so the below-normal signal supports the market’s tight clustering around the lower 60s-to-upper 60s bins. Fresh model cycles and any shift in wind direction remain the key near-term catalysts that could nudge probabilities between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent easterly flow off Lake Michigan and lingering cloud cover are anchoring trader focus on the 66–69°F range for Chicago’s September 25 high, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of 66–68°F under stable high pressure. Onshore winds suppress daytime warming while moderating overnight lows near 55–58°F, keeping the diurnal range narrow. Current ensemble runs show limited spread, with minimal warm-air advection expected before the period. Historical climatology places the late-September average near 73°F, so the below-normal signal supports the market’s tight clustering around the lower 60s-to-upper 60s bins. Fresh model cycles and any shift in wind direction remain the key near-term catalysts that could nudge probabilities between the leading outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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