Recent National Weather Service and model guidance projects highs in the upper 80s for Miami on September 25, with partly sunny skies, afternoon sea-breeze convergence, and a 30-50% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This consensus, aligned with late-September climatology averaging near 89°F, underpins trader positioning around the 90-91°F range as the most likely outcome while assigning lower weight to 92°F-plus scenarios that would require stronger subsidence or reduced cloud cover. Northwesterly flow and moderate humidity levels further support contained temperatures rather than extreme outliers. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Miami il 25 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Miami il 25 settembre?
90-91°F 53%
88-89°F 36%
86-87°F 19%
92-93°F 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
75°F o inferiore
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
24%
90-91°F
53%
92-93°F
17%
94°F o superiore
8%
90-91°F 53%
88-89°F 36%
86-87°F 19%
92-93°F 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
75°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$10 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
9%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
19%
88-89°F
$3 Vol.
24%
90-91°F
$242 Vol.
53%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
17%
94°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance projects highs in the upper 80s for Miami on September 25, with partly sunny skies, afternoon sea-breeze convergence, and a 30-50% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This consensus, aligned with late-September climatology averaging near 89°F, underpins trader positioning around the 90-91°F range as the most likely outcome while assigning lower weight to 92°F-plus scenarios that would require stronger subsidence or reduced cloud cover. Northwesterly flow and moderate humidity levels further support contained temperatures rather than extreme outliers. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 23, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$254Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance projects highs in the upper 80s for Miami on September 25, with partly sunny skies, afternoon sea-breeze convergence, and a 30-50% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This consensus, aligned with late-September climatology averaging near 89°F, underpins trader positioning around the 90-91°F range as the most likely outcome while assigning lower weight to 92°F-plus scenarios that would require stronger subsidence or reduced cloud cover. Northwesterly flow and moderate humidity levels further support contained temperatures rather than extreme outliers. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$254Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance projects highs in the upper 80s for Miami on September 25, with partly sunny skies, afternoon sea-breeze convergence, and a 30-50% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This consensus, aligned with late-September climatology averaging near 89°F, underpins trader positioning around the 90-91°F range as the most likely outcome while assigning lower weight to 92°F-plus scenarios that would require stronger subsidence or reduced cloud cover. Northwesterly flow and moderate humidity levels further support contained temperatures rather than extreme outliers. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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